TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,756
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,846

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,756 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xffd0…93fcbacked No75c1,201$898 inLost-$898.3111243.8%49 W · 63 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No75c1,092$815 inLost-$815.051,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No75c1,000$750 inLost-$75064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ae…df49backed Yes26c998.1$258 inWon+$740.261040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed No75c805.29$600 inLost-$60011851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes26c742.33$190 inWon+$552.188,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed Yes25c432$108 inWon+$3248247.6%39 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed No74c432$320 inLost-$319.6861752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fc0…7c96backed Yes25c300$75 inWon+$2254812.5%6 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick13cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc4…68a1backed Yes25c200$50 inWon+$150728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No75c177.21$132 inLost-$132.442,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No73c172.73$127 inLost-$126.912,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked No62c102.63$64 inLost-$63.6358049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbce…8f30backed Yes32c88.75$28 inWon+$60.751346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fcc…5f1bbacked Yes25c80$20 inWon+$6010936.7%40 W · 69 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34d5…c335backed Yes28c70.32$20 inWon+$50.32633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+34.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3244…13ecbacked Yes29c64.34$19 inWon+$45.681435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes24c55.26$13 inWon+$41.9943145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb74f…2eb3backed Yes38c52.63$20 inWon+$32.6315050.7%76 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9440…70f4backed Yes25c40$10 inWon+$30757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8693…cc0dbacked Yes25c40$10 inWon+$305628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No75c36.64$27 inLost-$27.482,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No68c17.3$12 inLost-$11.761,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.