TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b6d…db4f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.96
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$319
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.91
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$17.89
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$11.6
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.19
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$14.83
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$24.32
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.69
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$14.43
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.73
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+90%+$17.33
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+71.7%+$43.03
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+38%+$11.39
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+106.6%+$25.59
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
All 24 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$17.45
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$5.77
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$35.96
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+105.7%+$74.55
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+70.5%+$10.58
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$15.23
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$44.45
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.68
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$9.29
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$16.77
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+94.5%+$28.36
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$4.29
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
All 15 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.