TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, 3DMAX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$307,191

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,191 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37f8…b5e5backed 3DMAX0c36,769$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.3744743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked 3DMAX19c26,677$5,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,184.6930726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed 3DMAX25c20,597$5,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,157.6821941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Spirit77c8,016$6,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.7815760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked 3DMAX33c7,566$2,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,51435850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Spirit76c7,355$5,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.6123355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked Spirit71c6,612$4,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.0116448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Spirit78c6,260$4,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.4344957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 3DMAX24c6,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.991,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 3DMAX27c5,712$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.574,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Spirit76c5,632$4,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.5811046.4%51 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Spirit78c5,631$4,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.6147147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked 3DMAX25c5,584$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.012,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed Spirit74c5,309$3,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.159153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b75…f8fabacked Spirit77c5,287$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.012955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked 3DMAX25c4,820$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.493,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit76c3,892$2,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.692,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed 3DMAX22c3,062$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.771,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed 3DMAX33c3,047$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.1733452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked 3DMAX17c2,862$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006048.3%29 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit74c2,750$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.091,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Spirit76c2,732$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.6116152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Spirit77c2,573$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.3588746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed 3DMAX21c2,500$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51511852.5%62 W · 56 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Spirit73c2,489$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.871,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked 3DMAX26c2,350$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.0217042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed 3DMAX24c2,190$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.5472453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 3DMAX26c2,123$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.296,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Spirit69c2,028$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.7247738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked 3DMAX24c1,960$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.8159839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc635…9052backed Spirit72c1,950$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.82653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spirit72c1,773$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.923,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c29…afadbacked Spirit76c1,687$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.841681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+42.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1570…1404backed 3DMAX24c1,678$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked 3DMAX25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37561228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Spirit72c1,404$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.444,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked 3DMAX24c1,379$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.2821737.3%81 W · 136 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bcc…84c1backed 3DMAX37c1,373$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.891560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+62.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed 3DMAX21c1,300$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.41,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Spirit76c1,235$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.498052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Spirit66c1,197$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.352,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 3DMAX23c1,185$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.578639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Spirit76c1,175$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.935261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed Spirit57c1,053$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.813545.7%16 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 3DMAX29c1,035$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.91,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4013…406bbacked Spirit76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24015063.3%95 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Spirit77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2308050%40 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed 3DMAX12c999.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23b2…ce61backed Spirit74c999$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.368065%52 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Spirit77c868.94$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.8660853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked 3DMAX21c699.99$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1474946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed Spirit70c658.34$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.585248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Spirit79c638.68$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.681,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f7…e59bbacked Spirit79c632.5$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.55545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Spirit64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22532548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Spirit59c612.32$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.0528443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed 3DMAX25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15031444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Spirit70c600$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.5645455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…a29dbacked Spirit73c596.41$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.031833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked 3DMAX34c555$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.734542.3%146 W · 199 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x106f…d28fbacked Spirit79c536.37$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.644763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 3DMAX37c528.28$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19552837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Spirit66c499.99$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed 3DMAX20c480$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.091,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed 3DMAX27c426.19$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11559343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed 3DMAX26c423.46$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.169635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Spirit57c416.47$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.0826549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked Spirit68c400$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7852834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Spirit76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9660848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…4bc4backed 3DMAX24c364.13$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.141910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-74.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked Spirit78c356.95$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.239258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Spirit76c329$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.172,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Spirit75c327$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.961,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf13…ed3dbacked Spirit76c305.95$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.768633.7%29 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed 3DMAX21c305.76$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6518342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Spirit77c305$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8760147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9798…12d2backed 3DMAX33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a2…feedbacked Spirit57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12912132.2%39 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c90…cd7bbacked 3DMAX10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014728.6%42 W · 105 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc011…0a62backed Spirit67c299.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9916354%88 W · 75 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Spirit67c278.95$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9533457.8%193 W · 141 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e8a…42a0backed Spirit76c263.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.422040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Spirit77c260.64$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9517850%89 W · 89 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Spirit77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7423557.4%135 W · 100 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Spirit77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7453850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3b…3f0abacked Spirit77c257.51$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5112654.8%69 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Spirit77c256.82$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.641553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed Spirit79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1613453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked 3DMAX24c253.14$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.087428.4%21 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Spirit78c244.01$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.871,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spirit78c243.5$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.483,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed 3DMAX25c233.52$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.387724.7%19 W · 58 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cfb…f786backed 3DMAX14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013119.8%26 W · 105 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed 3DMAX24c207.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034848.3%168 W · 180 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11ff…4447backed 3DMAX25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010534.3%36 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed 3DMAX22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4418454.3%100 W · 84 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe3f8…4d2abacked 3DMAX25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018554.1%100 W · 85 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Spirit55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9036837.5%138 W · 230 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed Spirit60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8041645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed 3DMAX31c195$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4544648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.