CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8a90e61d7528644575a1e0adf05b33e8d586d5ab4bddf2df6b06b829b19abd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,947 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked 3DMAX | 15c | 38,703$5,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,784.54 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed 3DMAX | 17c | 17,162$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.97 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 3DMAX | 18c | 6,076$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.37 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed 3DMAX | 16c | 5,501$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.16 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Spirit | 79c | 4,479$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.8 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Spirit | 78c | 4,010$3,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.5 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked 3DMAX | 16c | 2,733$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.2 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…c58cbacked Spirit | 78c | 2,360$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.4 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Spirit | 80c | 2,237$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.32 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spirit | 77c | 2,099$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.32 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed 3DMAX | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked 3DMAX | 15c | 2,000$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.51 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed 3DMAX | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 120 | 21.7%26 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Spirit | 79c | 1,490$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.37 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed 3DMAX | 12c | 1,286$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.83 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked 3DMAX | 25c | 1,215$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.65 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…406bbacked Spirit | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 150 | 63.3%95 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Spirit | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed 3DMAX | 13c | 848.35$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.16 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked 3DMAX | 19c | 815.55$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.55 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed 3DMAX | 16c | 734.03$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.44 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed 3DMAX | 6c | 720$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed 3DMAX | 16c | 635.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed 3DMAX | 17c | 599.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad5d…df40backed 3DMAX | 7c | 555.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…4bc4backed 3DMAX | 18c | 538.01$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…a94ebacked 3DMAX | 11c | 504.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked 3DMAX | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Spirit | 80c | 435.65$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 3DMAX | 12c | 424.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…138abacked 3DMAX | 7c | 404.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked 3DMAX | 8c | 354.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 3DMAX | 16c | 320.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed 3DMAX | 7c | 320$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 3DMAX | 20c | 300.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4564…c051backed 3DMAX | 6c | 271.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed 3DMAX | 11c | 265.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed 3DMAX | 20c | 263$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed 3DMAX | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 377 | 52%196 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed 3DMAX | 12c | 209$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 3DMAX | 11c | 206.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 3DMAX | 19c | 202.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…c74fbacked 3DMAX | 8c | 199.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed 3DMAX | 17c | 198$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Spirit | 76c | 186.95$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed 3DMAX | 20c | 173.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54cf…e36dbacked 3DMAX | 20c | 155$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed 3DMAX | 13c | 134.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked 3DMAX | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Spirit | 80c | 117$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 223 | 65%145 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2042…e594backed 3DMAX | 10c | 108.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…a72dbacked 3DMAX | 15c | 100.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked 3DMAX | 17c | 99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked 3DMAX | 12c | 94.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked 3DMAX | 13c | 92.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d822backed 3DMAX | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed 3DMAX | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa63f…4f7bbacked 3DMAX | 18c | 71.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked 3DMAX | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Spirit | 79c | 56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Spirit | 77c | 54.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked 3DMAX | 20c | 50.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Spirit | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit | 80c | 32.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed Spirit | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Spirit | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aea…e355backed Spirit | 76c | 21.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…6c27backed Spirit | 76c | 16.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed Spirit | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Spirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 3DMAX - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.