TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, 3DMAX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,439

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,439 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdcaf…e271backed Spirit63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.9837946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Spirit64c8,500$5,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,06019455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed 3DMAX35c7,500$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.9912441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed 3DMAX37c6,908$2,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.0811046.4%51 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Spirit65c6,889$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,389.4225751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed 3DMAX36c6,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Spirit64c2,848$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.444648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked 3DMAX37c2,500$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9255,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed 3DMAX37c2,500$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9251,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX41c2,486$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.873,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed 3DMAX36c2,430$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.798847.7%42 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Spirit63c2,187$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.9984958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f40…e1f2backed 3DMAX36c1,804$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6494351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked 3DMAX37c1,768$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.2321737.3%81 W · 136 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Spirit64c1,630$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.5647147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked 3DMAX35c1,479$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.798052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 3DMAX36c1,244$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.71,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Spirit62c1,186$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.3623952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Spirit63c1,028$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.368752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked 3DMAX37c1,005$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.8583652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed 3DMAX32c908.35$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.678751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked 3DMAX36c908.33$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32719642.9%84 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked Spirit64c887.99$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6814853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc255…0470backed Spirit66c859.01$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.6814863.5%94 W · 54 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked Spirit66c782.84$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.6812736.2%46 W · 81 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Spirit64c778$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.0824846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked 3DMAX39c776.98$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.021,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde19…3a14backed Spirit58c738.51$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.4812552.8%66 W · 59 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed 3DMAX36c699.97$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9960248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Spirit64c659.56$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.4460853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6867…f8d2backed 3DMAX35c622.86$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2186443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Spirit58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25231933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed Spirit63c570.76$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.3824339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Spirit56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7136554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked 3DMAX35c490.22$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5820539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Spirit65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.549565.3%62 W · 33 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed Spirit56c447.09$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.098053.8%43 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…1a20backed 3DMAX45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805042%21 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed Spirit63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11117849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Spirit71c280.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3413351.1%68 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd99…c06cbacked Spirit65c273.85$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.855662.5%35 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1487…d443backed Spirit64c265$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.46944.9%31 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked 3DMAX36c250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9043640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8766…0ef8backed Spirit64c244$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8412152.9%64 W · 57 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed 3DMAX37c224.32$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8341847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed 3DMAX34c223.89$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.529442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked Spirit64c205.43$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9616448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed Spirit50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007153.5%38 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb171…32f0backed Spirit52c192.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5218239%71 W · 111 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Spirit61c157.5$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.522045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked Spirit64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2517053.5%91 W · 79 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Spirit65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8548242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9030…cf12backed Spirit65c153$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.554245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed 3DMAX12c129.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1538844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6234…15c9backed Spirit64c109.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.381338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed 3DMAX22c104.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.033716.2%6 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Spirit62c103.92$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7425143.8%110 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Spirit65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359550.5%48 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04da…3a9fbacked Spirit64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3611159.5%66 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked 3DMAX38c98.89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2345956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked 3DMAX20c89.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.84030%12 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Spirit59c85.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3396545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked 3DMAX37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.61,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5076…e15dbacked Spirit65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9231759.9%190 W · 127 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Spirit65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.924555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed 3DMAX36c76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3650947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77a3…d2aebacked Spirit67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed 3DMAX30c67.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.361,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed 3DMAX37c67.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8812355.3%68 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed 3DMAX43c66.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6315056%84 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3746…a99fbacked 3DMAX33c64.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.493834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe268…fc8ebacked Spirit68c54.41$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.41966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdf2…f582backed Spirit64c52.92$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.051450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed 3DMAX48c52.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.165343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed 3DMAX30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.922,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Spirit60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2053545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Spirit64c48.44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4440050.8%203 W · 197 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Spirit69c45.97$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4747165.2%307 W · 164 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Spirit67c40.77$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4361754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x274b…b57fbacked Spirit56c40.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+110.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed 3DMAX40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.112856.3%72 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Spirit55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1834742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Spirit64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0614439.6%57 W · 87 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Spirit57c37.95$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.53256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed 3DMAX41c36.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9cf7…a506backed Spirit75c32.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.054759.6%28 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Spirit64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2580741.3%333 W · 474 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x399c…6191backed Spirit64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2516965.1%110 W · 59 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe825…39b7backed 3DMAX48c30.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfda1…454fbacked 3DMAX48c30.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29aa…e4eabacked 3DMAX48c30.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x191a…2ea6backed Spirit64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.84369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Spirit62c26.15$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8665546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40cc…f83abacked Spirit60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1012450%62 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf331…2489backed Spirit64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921252.8%112 W · 100 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04d6…5005backed Spirit60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106847.1%32 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d7…ec13backed Spirit64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.445955.9%33 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0235…4224backed Spirit60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88750.6%44 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0947…f948backed Spirit64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.29162.6%57 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5501…e914backed Spirit65c19.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.752263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.