Token Launches · resolved market
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x121234ff2a605540ea762436bacbf29cd75ab53a66e154dd65cb771ba81638db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,581,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,581,283 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc23e…1461backed No | 1c | 249,451$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…bd0dbacked No | 0c | 190,782$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c50…8100backed No | 0c | 173,006$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.01 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…b101backed No | 3c | 162,245$4,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,157.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…1078backed No | 0c | 111,566$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.57 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…83d8backed No | 0c | 111,200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 2c | 108,836$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.45 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…258cbacked No | 0c | 90,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…35a7backed No | 1c | 86,707$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.77 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cb…1f21backed No | 3c | 83,753$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.65 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed No | 0c | 53,904$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…1856backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf239…3627backed No | 0c | 49,325$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…f7cebacked No | 0c | 40,330$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked No | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…581bbacked No | 0c | 33,860$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x894d…cdb0backed No | 0c | 31,980$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc723…7778backed No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ec…d662backed No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…e9afbacked No | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e77…6762backed No | 0c | 29,750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4b…4a0ebacked No | 0c | 27,610$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…1051backed No | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac7…5981backed No | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…e0debacked No | 2c | 24,769$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.04 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 70c | 24,621$17,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,153.81 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…9188backed No | 0c | 24,240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaed2…bbffbacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed No | 45c | 18,917$8,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,530.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…d5f6backed No | 0c | 18,911$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691c…e0aabacked No | 2c | 17,488$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.49 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8601…eca3backed No | 0c | 16,980$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…ed00backed No | 0c | 14,230$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed No | 6c | 11,560$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.6 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64af…a2debacked Yes | 69c | 11,412$7,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,551.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…e2f4backed No | 2c | 10,990$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce9…ef59backed No | 0c | 10,780$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…918dbacked No | 0c | 10,398$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…bddcbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1494…9887backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…4528backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…160ebacked No | 4c | 8,777$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.73 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa66…5493backed No | 1c | 8,733$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…6d24backed Yes | 64c | 6,801$4,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.2 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 6,417$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29e…841dbacked No | 1c | 6,122$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.37 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b5…bdcabacked Yes | 70c | 6,120$4,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +355.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f2…5895backed No | 2c | 5,467$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fb…0eacbacked No | 2c | 5,404$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…f6cdbacked No | 1c | 5,300$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…eb1dbacked Yes | 76c | 5,299$4,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 1c | 5,290$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ba…be9fbacked No | 24c | 5,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.53 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 60c | 4,700$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.32 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…797abacked Yes | 50c | 4,584$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…f42cbacked No | 0c | 4,278$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe961…8dcabacked No | 0c | 4,157$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 50c | 4,000$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…5d01backed No | 25c | 3,970$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…03c5backed Yes | 68c | 3,769$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.86 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…d819backed No | 1c | 3,637$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 78c | 3,301$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 35c | 3,241$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.55 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…511bbacked No | 2c | 3,115$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…aa95backed Yes | 78c | 3,101$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked Yes | 66c | 3,012$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.49 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Yes | 43c | 3,011$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 2,883$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…c958backed No | 31c | 2,783$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…cbdfbacked Yes | 52c | 2,610$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca03…91b8backed No | 6c | 2,487$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 2,446$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked No | 28c | 2,347$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.25 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 13c | 2,239$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.84 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…a3d6backed No | 28c | 2,211$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.67 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…3b53backed No | 1c | 2,157$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…0a00backed No | 4c | 2,125$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked Yes | 31c | 2,000$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +565.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 10c | 1,999$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.48 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked No | 48c | 1,893$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.39 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc644…23f3backed Yes | 75c | 1,800$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd65e…bc0cbacked No | 3c | 1,751$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…2380backed No | 24c | 1,556$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…cf45backed No | 33c | 1,547$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…58a9backed No | 6c | 1,518$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +159.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5a…61b1backed Yes | 70c | 1,508$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 2c | 1,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeedb…59e5backed No | 14c | 1,483$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…b56abacked No | 2c | 1,416$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 60c | 1,414$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.22 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…036bbacked No | 14c | 1,412$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…9890backed No | 67c | 1,392$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.73 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24dd…9948backed Yes | 78c | 1,331$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…1921backed Yes | 38c | 1,318$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.72 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,280$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.61 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…c57fbacked No | 4c | 1,214$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffc…d342backed No | 3c | 1,200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.33per pick | 44cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4f…ce1fbacked No | 18c | 1,123$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…50dbbacked No | 1c | 1,121$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?this page
- No token launch by March 31No won
- Will Paradex launch a token on March 10?No won
- Will Paradex launch a token on March 11?No won
- Will Paradex launch a token on March 12?No won
- Will Paradex launch a token on March 14?No won
- Will Paradex launch a token on March 15?No won
- Will Paradex launch a token on March 4?No won
- Will Paradex launch a token on March 6?No won
- Will Paradex launch a token on March 7?No won
- Will Paradex launch a token on March 8?No won
- Will Paradex launch a token on March 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.