Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34412950fa047b20eead7819364c2f698f13d0fc31949588bbc4c7229d578219
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $437,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $503,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 470 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 62,831$26,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,300 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Aurora | 49c | 30,839$15,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,641.06 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora | 60c | 30,318$18,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,159.85 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 18,521$7,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,496.65 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 14,204$7,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,373 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Aurora | 58c | 12,777$7,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,346.3 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee5…71b7backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 11,087$4,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,086.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Aurora | 58c | 10,410$6,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,372.18 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Aurora | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Aurora | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Aurora | 61c | 8,331$5,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.95 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Aurora | 60c | 7,500$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 63c | 6,359$3,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.98 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 6,136$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.77 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 5,551$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,209.82 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 5,510$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 24c | 5,477$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.79 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 4,833$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.77 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…2d20backed Aurora | 60c | 4,439$2,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.83 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 57c | 4,429$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.16 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Aurora | 77c | 4,168$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.16 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…5c05backed Aurora | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 3,945$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 3,876$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.38 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 3,854$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.5 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 3,749$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 3,721$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 3,625$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 3,390$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.03 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Aurora | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 6c | 3,000$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Xtreme Gaming | 10c | 2,775$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.29 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 2,701$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.65 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Aurora | 58c | 2,451$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.29 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Aurora | 58c | 2,450$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.48 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 2,444$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.57 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 2,411$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 2,400$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora | 43c | 2,138$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.49 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 2,118$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a1…5922backed Xtreme Gaming | 8c | 2,058$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.12 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Aurora | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Aurora | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 1,969$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 1,926$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.46 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Aurora | 60c | 1,822$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.77 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Aurora | 56c | 1,812$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.55 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c4…abaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 1,784$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Aurora | 61c | 1,770$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.3 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Aurora | 47c | 1,707$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.68 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Aurora | 60c | 1,658$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.34 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfd…cfa8backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 1,635$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 1,587$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.34 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 1,532$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.1 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Aurora | 68c | 1,424$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.42 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 1,400$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9780…bbefbacked Aurora | 59c | 1,357$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Aurora | 41c | 1,300$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.5 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Aurora | 60c | 1,282$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.98 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Aurora | 78c | 1,280$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.6 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Aurora | 50c | 1,254$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.77 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 1,191$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Xtreme Gaming | 4c | 1,191$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 1,167$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 1,157$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.55 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Aurora | 33c | 1,157$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…11e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 1,129$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 1,115$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.5 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Aurora | 72c | 1,112$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.3 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 1,094$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.89 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Aurora | 35c | 1,066$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.17 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…03bbbacked Aurora | 49c | 1,027$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.79 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c4…c563backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 1,023$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e36…8ec0backed Aurora | 68c | 1,019$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Aurora | 59c | 998.31$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.31 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Xtreme Gaming | 21c | 988.09$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.21 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Aurora | 58c | 982.76$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.76 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 979.59$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.59 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 965.92$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98e…a046backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 953.94$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.66 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 939.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…98f9backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 936.03$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.56 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 899.97$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.58 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Aurora | 58c | 888.6$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.21 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 872.9$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.7 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…ffcdbacked Aurora | 51c | 856.91$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.88 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…5284backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 855.13$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Aurora | 53c | 834.52$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.2 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 812.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 802.15$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.77 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…400cbacked Aurora | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora | 52c | 778.54$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.95 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Aurora | 66c | 761.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.38 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Aurora | 58c | 750$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Aurora | 51c | 750$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.5 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 737.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.