Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d7fa0d4d4df558b0ab8f0b35035ed588d6029b648705bacf25157ec45a6b161
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Aurora, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Aurora | 49c | 60,899$30,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,098.11 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 24,844$16,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,446.91 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 18,675$7,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,834.18 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 11,588$4,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,880.63 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 8,014$3,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,544.37 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 4,641$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.08 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 2,350$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.46 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 1,795$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.37 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 1,728$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.3 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Aurora | 74c | 1,705$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Aurora | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 38c | 1,472$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.76 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…ffcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 1,236$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.56 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 1,190$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.29 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked Aurora | 19c | 1,169$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.21 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 1,151$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.56 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Aurora | 25c | 1,145$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.25 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked Aurora | 45c | 1,130$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.61 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Aurora | 59c | 1,118$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.48 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Aurora | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 32c | 949.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 911.9$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.68 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 890.19$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.06 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…98f9backed Aurora | 61c | 815.94$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Xtreme Gaming | 21c | 799.98$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.98 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 742.23$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.31 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Aurora | 47c | 693.55$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.4 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 688.15$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.62 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 684.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.72 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 54c | 682.93$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.63 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed Aurora | 61c | 650.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 650.09$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.55 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 648.68$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.26 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 641.96$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.13 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Aurora | 22c | 620.29$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.65 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Aurora | 51c | 551$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.58 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Aurora | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Aurora | 38c | 518.84$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.73 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f5…40d7backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 57c | 498.75$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.65 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Aurora | 57c | 484.34$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.4 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Aurora | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5907…56c5backed Aurora | 59c | 483.46$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora | 55c | 440.98$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.32 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 439.64$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.63 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…6ce6backed Aurora | 42c | 400$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 400$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.17 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Aurora | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 399.62$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.78 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 390.44$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.54 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…4a8dbacked Aurora | 78c | 384.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Aurora | 58c | 372.76$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.08 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Aurora | 65c | 366.28$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453e…eabcbacked Aurora | 60c | 350$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d7…6fe4backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 336.19$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Aurora | 60c | 333.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Aurora | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Aurora | 61c | 325.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Aurora | 62c | 317.74$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Aurora | 66c | 309.27$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…44edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 307.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…b543backed Aurora | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e0…ac15backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Aurora | 50c | 289.56$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.69 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Aurora | 59c | 288.62$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.29 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Aurora | 53c | 265$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.65 | 393 | 51.1%201 W · 192 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Aurora | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Aurora | 52c | 256.25$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb63b…d7f2backed Aurora | 55c | 250.01$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 238.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.63 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 227.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.32 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f5…7b42backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 226.12$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed Aurora | 60c | 209.04$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked Aurora | 57c | 205$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +86%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Aurora | 56c | 205$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 203.59$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Aurora | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 200$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.54 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 199.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 196.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…5cd1backed Aurora | 73c | 193.59$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Aurora | 58c | 190.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2975…596cbacked Aurora | 13c | 189.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Aurora | 38c | 188.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Aurora | 65c | 188.87$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Aurora | 57c | 178.54$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.77 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Aurora | 61c | 164.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Aurora | 64c | 160$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…ae46backed Aurora | 63c | 157.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Aurora | 43c | 154.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Aurora | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Xtreme Gaming | 16c | 150$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Aurora | 58c | 150$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…c74fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 138.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.