Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1af0b172e7bda2c3dab6be807d3302eb9080d6344f5f34830a1316fdff89c84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Aurora | 63c | 19,050$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,050.29 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 9,968$4,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,802.6 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Aurora | 59c | 8,368$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.15 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 8,311$3,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,490.45 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 8,148$3,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,646.53 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 6,731$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 6,283$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked Aurora | 61c | 5,141$3,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora | 60c | 4,464$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.6 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Aurora | 58c | 4,204$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.37 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Aurora | 75c | 2,962$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.66 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 2,835$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.61 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.15 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…11e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 2,304$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Xtreme Gaming | 10c | 2,290$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.94 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 2,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 2,095$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…5baebacked Aurora | 57c | 1,751$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 1,713$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.91 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Xtreme Gaming | 5c | 1,600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 17c | 1,585$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.31 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora | 55c | 1,564$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.71 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Aurora | 64c | 1,553$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.03 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora | 64c | 1,521$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.14 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Aurora | 58c | 1,371$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 1,368$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 72c | 1,344$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.02 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Aurora | 54c | 1,314$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.52 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Aurora | 73c | 1,254$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.88 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 1,218$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.12 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 1,184$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.59 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…98f9backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Aurora | 58c | 1,042$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 973.79$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.91 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f5…7b42backed Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 909.63$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77d7…6fe4backed Xtreme Gaming | 21c | 891.67$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Aurora | 58c | 862.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.29 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 857.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x453e…eabcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 820$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.3 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 798.28$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 788.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.14 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…ffcdbacked Aurora | 55c | 765$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.25 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 763.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 742.07$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Aurora | 76c | 723.67$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.44 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Aurora | 69c | 716.64$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.45 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 710.16$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.89 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 15c | 700.01$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 15c | 668.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 623.85$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.73 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 76c | 602.15$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.52 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…d550backed Aurora | 74c | 599.5$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.87 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 595.15$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 550.91$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.71 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 549$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.05 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed Aurora | 74c | 537.85$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.85 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…7909backed Aurora | 75c | 533.03$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Aurora | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Aurora | 57c | 500.26$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.75 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 489.75$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.14 | 534 | 44.4%237 W · 297 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c25…9885backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 445.43$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Aurora | 56c | 442.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.56 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Aurora | 66c | 441.77$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.72 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 429.82$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.24 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 405.42$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.28 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.82 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…1aa1backed Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 399.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked Aurora | 58c | 399.97$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…8e37backed Aurora | 74c | 372.62$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Aurora | 55c | 365.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.65 | 459 | 40.5%186 W · 273 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…3af1backed Aurora | 58c | 348.57$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Aurora | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Aurora | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Xtreme Gaming | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Aurora | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 300$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 299.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.87 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 296.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Xtreme Gaming | 18c | 286.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora | 55c | 286.19$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.01 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Aurora | 59c | 284.86$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.61 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a6…78f7backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 264.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…44edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 15c | 256.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…c74fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 255.2$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ea…be12backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…63bebacked Xtreme Gaming | 16c | 246.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 243.4$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…db9dbacked Aurora | 67c | 243.28$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Xtreme Gaming | 12c | 241.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 226.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Xtreme Gaming | 12c | 222.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Aurora | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f5…2ac9backed Aurora | 68c | 208.51$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.