Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f9b366ee53c88635d1e7ab279c35f3e0b3315d02fd8f97941f85d3889567e19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Natus Vincere, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,520 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 27,781$13,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,853.7 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 26,840$4,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,181.68 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 6,401$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,594.73 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 6,231$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.43 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Vici Gaming | 62c | 5,233$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.21 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 4,844$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 4,359$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.74 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 4,321$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.86 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Vici Gaming | 41c | 4,179$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466.51 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Vici Gaming | 43c | 3,604$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.07 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 3,300$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.16 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Vici Gaming | 52c | 2,810$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.2 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 2,785$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.58 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.99 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…b149backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 2,247$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,790$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.48 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 1,592$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.8 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,536$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.12 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,519$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.03 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 1,518$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.82 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Vici Gaming | 78c | 1,500$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.9 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…9cd5backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 1,438$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.21 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,320$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,286$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.4 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 1,283$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.9 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,279$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.7 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,243$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.12 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,106$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.33 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,100$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.91 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Vici Gaming | 68c | 1,048$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.33 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 1,015$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 899.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 823.99$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.24 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 817.94$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.02 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Vici Gaming | 49c | 815.88$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.88 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Vici Gaming | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.17 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 727.5$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.5 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 700$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 670.02$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.4 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 652.74$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.75 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Vici Gaming | 46c | 638.86$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.9 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…3ff4backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 601.17$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Vici Gaming | 74c | 567.57$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.57 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 550$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.29 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 535.66$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.04 | 129 | 66.7%86 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…9d98backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…4a8dbacked Vici Gaming | 80c | 515.41$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.81 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 504.08$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.57 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2c…e9a0backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 499.97$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 495.15$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 479.11$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.84 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 475.8$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.08 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 470$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 439.47$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.66 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Vici Gaming | 74c | 436.25$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.16 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 434.65$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.32 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 432.53$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.49 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 426.95$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.9 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 422.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Vici Gaming | 52c | 387.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.4 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…e430backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 349.62$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.45 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…da65backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 315.43$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.84 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Natus Vincere | 6c | 315.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 300$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.9 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Vici Gaming | 39c | 298.92$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.34 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 297.56$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 293.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.41 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 290$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.7 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4a…4896backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 276.49$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 268.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.16 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 266.89$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.76 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 266.01$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 5c | 260$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…bf46backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 250.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.79 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…6f25backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…3992backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 240.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 240.01$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 225.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.86 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…2859backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 208.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Vici Gaming | 80c | 198.9$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 194.83$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.48 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 186.66$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 184.24$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.74 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)Vici Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.