CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2470a9e877f1eb643dcd054cc11449ebfb0a11cf2c0f36a07a388a88aebc0085
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $461,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $510,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65c1…2988backed MIBR | 17c | 49,659$8,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,442.08 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed MIBR | 18c | 40,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.93 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MIBR | 9c | 30,036$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.53 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked MIBR | 17c | 29,366$4,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,913.16 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed MIBR | 3c | 17,427$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.4 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked MIBR | 15c | 16,894$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.11 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed MIBR | 19c | 16,781$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,188.3 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked MIBR | 16c | 15,015$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.37 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked MIBR | 16c | 9,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked MIBR | 20c | 8,684$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.32 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed MIBR | 16c | 7,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 846 | 58.4%494 W · 352 L | +60.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed MIBR | 1c | 6,664$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MIBR | 0c | 6,602$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…921bbacked MIBR | 21c | 5,561$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.69 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed MIBR | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.99 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed MIBR | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed MIBR | 20c | 4,600$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed MIBR | 19c | 4,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.96 | 665 | 51.9%345 W · 320 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked MIBR | 16c | 4,012$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.74 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed MIBR | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed MIBR | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked MIBR | 18c | 3,900$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.98 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MIBR | 19c | 3,722$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.14 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ad…a26ebacked MIBR | 1c | 3,556$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MIBR | 19c | 3,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Spirit | 79c | 3,418$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.82 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MIBR | 16c | 3,324$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.13 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…d916backed MIBR | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked MIBR | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed MIBR | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…7e93backed MIBR | 20c | 2,579$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.87 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked MIBR | 17c | 2,353$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 132 | 34.8%46 W · 86 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…9770backed Spirit | 80c | 2,302$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.4 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked MIBR | 1c | 2,117$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked MIBR | 19c | 2,050$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.46 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed MIBR | 18c | 2,006$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.1 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed MIBR | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Spirit | 80c | 2,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed MIBR | 19c | 1,944$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.44 | 590 | 55.3%326 W · 264 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MIBR | 19c | 1,861$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.57 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MIBR | 17c | 1,599$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.47 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MIBR | 19c | 1,580$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.2 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846c…0366backed Spirit | 80c | 1,501$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.25 | 189 | 63.5%120 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Spirit | 79c | 1,454$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.4 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Spirit | 80c | 1,447$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.4 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bef…5e49backed Spirit | 79c | 1,400$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked MIBR | 17c | 1,354$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.14 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked MIBR | 1c | 1,297$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 215 | 22.3%48 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MIBR | 19c | 1,270$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.29 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed MIBR | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed MIBR | 20c | 1,241$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed MIBR | 7c | 1,213$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.81 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…f372backed MIBR | 6c | 1,129$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed MIBR | 16c | 1,007$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…d689backed MIBR | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…414bbacked Spirit | 80c | 1,000$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked MIBR | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 19.1%41 W · 174 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Spirit | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed MIBR | 7c | 999.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…661cbacked MIBR | 5c | 999.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed MIBR | 19c | 999.92$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked MIBR | 17c | 929.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked MIBR | 5c | 901.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed MIBR | 10c | 899.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 124 | 33.9%42 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…8e0abacked MIBR | 19c | 848.22$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.16 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed MIBR | 17c | 799.98$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 554 | 41.2%228 W · 326 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46de…84eabacked MIBR | 8c | 763.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…0312backed MIBR | 19c | 728.42$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad0…6187backed MIBR | 22c | 700$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Spirit | 78c | 656.74$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.55 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Spirit | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ab…f7eabacked MIBR | 21c | 564.17$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed MIBR | 19c | 558.28$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Spirit | 78c | 501$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.22 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Spirit | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…afb0backed MIBR | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed MIBR | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Spirit | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,037 | 39.8%413 W · 624 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Spirit | 78c | 499.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed MIBR | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked MIBR | 19c | 499.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed MIBR | 18c | 499.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked MIBR | 19c | 497.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.57 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Spirit | 80c | 496.39$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…c111backed Spirit | 80c | 488.75$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked MIBR | 19c | 479.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0217…1579backed MIBR | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked MIBR | 11c | 443.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…fc56backed MIBR | 19c | 410.25$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed MIBR | 20c | 400.84$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 982 | 48.3%474 W · 508 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Spirit | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Spirit | 79c | 399.99$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…d43cbacked MIBR | 20c | 399.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed MIBR | 16c | 399.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…4e6cbacked MIBR | 19c | 393.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 276 | 49.3%136 W · 140 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Spirit | 80c | 390$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Spirit | 79c | 370$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed MIBR | 22c | 315$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Spirit | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 321 | 36.8%118 W · 203 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa453…b665backed MIBR | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2this page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs MIBR (+6.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.