World Politics · resolved market
Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x635b39b06348f41eff8424d738c1e8d03b0235537e6545ba22894a38c9e8105a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0bf…9f9fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,440$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed No | 34c | 1,264$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…a473backed No | 50c | 1,032$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked No | 38c | 917.89$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.63 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6007…9553backed Yes | 57c | 902$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Yes | 69c | 851.09$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…add3backed No | 53c | 782$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.54 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed Yes | 47c | 731$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.57 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…dc55backed Yes | 57c | 674.22$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…cfb7backed Yes | 13c | 500$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked Yes | 13c | 500$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +12.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…6677backed Yes | 13c | 500$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 44c | 466.7$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.37 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 32c | 445.2$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.12 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +15.2wins | +0.28per pick | 31cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…81c0backed No | 53c | 435$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…d5c6backed Yes | 8c | 434.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…89d8backed No | 43c | 416$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd393…c68ebacked No | 30c | 395.55$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +191.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa071…c452backed Yes | 71c | 364.96$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe597…abb9backed Yes | 14c | 221.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…1bd8backed Yes | 14c | 221.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…6d4dbacked Yes | 14c | 219.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef4…34a7backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ff…5eeabacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a00…170bbacked Yes | 14c | 197.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb96…9545backed Yes | 44c | 172.83$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd29a…bb36backed Yes | 10c | 168.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 41c | 165.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.86 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…4d05backed Yes | 14c | 160.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…9ab0backed Yes | 25c | 158.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked No | 14c | 155.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.91 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…eb57backed No | 20c | 151.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +404.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f71…4e83backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 53c | 149.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…bb09backed Yes | 14c | 145.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…265bbacked Yes | 15c | 142.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1411…2410backed No | 51c | 123.08$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…c27ebacked Yes | 62c | 113.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…6764backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe610…fd5dbacked No | 51c | 106.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…f66fbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.30per pick | 11cpaid | +459.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbd…20a4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 34c | 92.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x872c…40e0backed No | 50c | 91.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 26c | 91.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1724…c626backed No | 42c | 82.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 74c | 78.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 150 | 76%114 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 74c | 76.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9035…1e37backed No | 24c | 68.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…2169backed Yes | 70c | 60.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…974bbacked Yes | 40c | 60.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…e937backed No | 48c | 58.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…f6febacked Yes | 74c | 56.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507b…0742backed Yes | 71c | 51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 27c | 50.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…b759backed Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691c…0a40backed Yes | 50c | 33.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381f…3f98backed No | 50c | 33.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd0…e690backed No | 50c | 32.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785b…7a46backed Yes | 50c | 32.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3624…9a2ebacked Yes | 50c | 32.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 51c | 27.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf6…e186backed Yes | 77c | 27.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…b3c2backed No | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed No | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…10b1backed Yes | 61c | 25.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x18c5…bac8backed No | 50c | 24.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…b3dcbacked Yes | 50c | 24.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 71c | 23.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf55a…f8f0backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 51c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9138…0690backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb218…6261backed No | 73c | 16.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?this page
- Will Mi, socialisti! (Mi!) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?Yes won
- Will Our Country (ND) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will Prerod – Party of Vladimir Prebilič (PVP) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will The Left (Levica) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will Vesna – Green Party (Vesna) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?Yes won
- Will the Freedom Movement (GS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will the Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?Yes won
- Will the Slovenian National Party (SNS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will the Social Democrats (SD) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.