Movies · resolved market
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0315b81ca1fd850dce7caf58642ca9671f1e8ec0357460d18d392aab24e8fcd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 32c | 5,305$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.65 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…f5c4backed Yes | 4c | 3,777$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 58c | 3,416$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.15 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 35c | 2,670$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.33 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed No | 77c | 1,932$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.6 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 18c | 1,900$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.42 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed No | 67c | 1,644$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 10c | 1,600$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 9cpaid | +344.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 3c | 1,320$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aec…fdafbacked Yes | 41c | 1,093$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…8238backed Yes | 33c | 1,085$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.05 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked Yes | 33c | 1,064$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.12 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 37c | 983.17$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.91 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 15c | 933.71$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.39 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 20c | 702.66$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.74 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 26c | 671$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.82 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked No | 59c | 669$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 37c | 605.42$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.97 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91af…95c8backed No | 30c | 550$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…973dbacked Yes | 70c | 527.03$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Yes | 35c | 499.92$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.97 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 16c | 454.77$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2145…1e5dbacked No | 59c | 424$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 75c | 399.99$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.08 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 25c | 398.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 64c | 356.76$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.53 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 27c | 356.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed No | 67c | 310$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked Yes | 21c | 280$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 72c | 225.55$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 69c | 220.15$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 208.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed No | 67c | 195$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…8e7abacked Yes | 14c | 181.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed Yes | 37c | 170.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…e067backed Yes | 24c | 127$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 36c | 121.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe63…cb9ebacked Yes | 16c | 119$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 62c | 115$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 56c | 112.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…4982backed Yes | 14c | 112$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…f399backed Yes | 14c | 111$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…03c5backed Yes | 59c | 109.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…d738backed Yes | 16c | 109$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…1baebacked Yes | 14c | 106$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 16c | 105.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 108 | 14.8%16 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…439fbacked Yes | 14c | 105$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb910…ac48backed Yes | 24c | 97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Yes | 46c | 93.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 51c | 93.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 37c | 86.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35dd…6a93backed Yes | 14c | 84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…a576backed Yes | 51c | 72.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…eebfbacked Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb65…90acbacked No | 77c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 47c | 57.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…3e7abacked Yes | 57c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Yes | 41c | 54.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 59c | 53.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 41c | 51.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed Yes | 35c | 50.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68b…385fbacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -9.7wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6b…fb69backed No | 76c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed Yes | 39c | 36.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f77…d985backed Yes | 50c | 36.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…528abacked No | 50c | 36.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…58c4backed Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed No | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3f…2790backed No | 76c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed No | 57c | 30.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…46b0backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…34c9backed No | 73c | 28.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed Yes | 67c | 27.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…532dbacked No | 72c | 26.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19db…7636backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…ca85backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed Yes | 61c | 21.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…5d13backed No | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb313…3877backed No | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?this page
- Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?No won
- Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?Yes won
- Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?No won
- Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.