Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1512828f4c735012fde09e2424f033bd2cd128a1a84e7aa7769440b66a1dd7c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,454,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,454,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,454,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 664 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 11c | 43,034$4,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,692.75 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed No | 23c | 33,055$7,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,540.53 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed No | 16c | 26,994$4,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,325.31 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 20c | 25,913$5,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,209.95 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 14c | 24,497$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,470.33 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 79c | 20,909$16,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,385.27 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768c…015dbacked No | 5c | 20,050$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 16cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 73c | 18,732$13,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,087.04 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ab…1dc3backed No | 2c | 17,891$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 71c | 16,595$11,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,890.51 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked No | 4c | 15,693$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.75 | 75 | 13.3%10 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 36c | 14,056$5,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,098.25 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 25c | 14,013$3,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,479.21 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked No | 12c | 12,000$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.04 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…9f29backed No | 3c | 12,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +321.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…70b0backed No | 13c | 11,834$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.64 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 1c | 11,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 202 | 43.1%87 W · 115 L | +30.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 2c | 10,769$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.97 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 12c | 9,941$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.05 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -12.7wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…9556backed No | 30c | 8,761$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.79 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 2c | 8,300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.9 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…7cd3backed No | 18c | 8,194$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.83 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…66e8backed No | 32c | 7,988$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.46 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 24c | 7,856$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.2 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 15c | 7,212$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.58 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…5433backed Yes | 77c | 7,095$5,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.89 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 14c | 6,834$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.02 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab4…b5a2backed Yes | 59c | 6,644$3,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…3455backed No | 3c | 6,633$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.73 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 4c | 5,841$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.57 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c79…a21cbacked No | 7c | 5,710$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.48 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…eb1dbacked Yes | 69c | 5,463$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 64c | 5,386$3,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.98 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b57…5975backed No | 3c | 5,283$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 19c | 5,188$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.04 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 63c | 5,091$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.52 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5a…2afdbacked No | 12c | 4,988$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.74 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 4,867$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.07 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 4,847$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe97c…2a99backed No | 62c | 4,754$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,952.27 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 8c | 4,691$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.03 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed No | 4c | 4,600$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae57…45e2backed No | 2c | 4,500$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…0fe5backed No | 71c | 4,400$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,106.12 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…5635backed No | 1c | 4,223$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed No | 0c | 4,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a58…dd44backed No | 1c | 3,986$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 42 | 4.8%2 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 26c | 3,933$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.14 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked No | 9c | 3,910$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 69c | 3,866$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.1 | 169 | 61.5%104 W · 65 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x935a…6235backed No | 11c | 3,840$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed No | 2c | 3,717$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc924…a554backed No | 10c | 3,645$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 19cpaid | +201.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3a…d8b8backed No | 25c | 3,599$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.38 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 19c | 3,558$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.89 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f09…2848backed No | 17c | 3,514$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3d…9129backed No | 2c | 3,001$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 5c | 2,840$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked No | 5c | 2,800$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 147 | 7.5%11 W · 136 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 5c | 2,771$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.03 | 144 | 2.8%4 W · 140 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…f103backed No | 11c | 2,622$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.16 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 48cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed Yes | 77c | 2,620$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.82 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 7c | 2,580$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.83 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked No | 11c | 2,500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 117 | 28.2%33 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…c0f2backed No | 13c | 2,500$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 79c | 2,426$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.74 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 5c | 2,400$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…7f6cbacked No | 8c | 2,294$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 7c | 2,250$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…8dccbacked Yes | 28c | 2,183$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 61c | 2,128$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.11 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 24c | 2,045$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.25 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 30c | 2,002$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.64 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 2c | 2,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a8…0261backed No | 64c | 1,956$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.92 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked No | 12c | 1,941$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.71 | 290 | 27.9%81 W · 209 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed No | 10c | 1,901$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.07 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 5c | 1,898$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x340a…1f9ebacked No | 5c | 1,885$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +390.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 26c | 1,838$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.79 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 72c | 1,807$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.12 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc312…9955backed No | 29c | 1,793$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.83 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 40cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 36c | 1,760$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.7 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked No | 4c | 1,750$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…005dbacked No | 6c | 1,698$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.58 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked No | 17c | 1,672$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.6 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135b…2c6dbacked No | 15c | 1,616$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +54%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…c0eebacked Yes | 26c | 1,615$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7e…7781backed No | 7c | 1,603$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 73c | 1,590$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.33 | 281 | 26.3%74 W · 207 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d04…680abacked No | 7c | 1,571$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 72c | 1,563$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.95 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 72c | 1,543$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.06 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 19c | 1,500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…5608backed No | 3c | 1,500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf97f…23c3backed Yes | 76c | 1,485$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.45 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09c9…6162backed No | 1c | 1,465$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 20c | 1,441$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.46 | 261 | 38.7%101 W · 160 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.