TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the Philadelphia Eagles be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,036
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,061

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,036 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd5fa…f3f8backed No70c1,243$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.180%0 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x63c2…ca53backed Yes30c1,121$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.7475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick47cpaid+73.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x605c…83dcbacked Yes30c1,118$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe513…b842backed No70c1,077$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.9333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+85.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5099…7d87backed No2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6787…8884backed Yes30c977$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.9333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e4…b332backed Yes30c957$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bb…e885backed Yes30c922$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x367b…48dabacked No70c754$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…f8a1backed Yes30c736$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+22.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f2…6a72backed Yes30c708$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+54.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3798…27fabacked No1c700$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102516%4 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick5cpaid+136.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8307…ad90backed No1c700$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101811.1%2 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b9…d0c7backed No70c698$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.650%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x45ff…bab6backed Yes30c678$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe309…44c2backed Yes31c653$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.574100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+115.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe433…1700backed No70c639$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+73.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x130f…fc43backed Yes30c631$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfec…09a7backed No70c611$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.7520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-63%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ae…44adbacked No70c571$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.7520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-73.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a5a…779cbacked No70c564$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.840%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x64c2…c527backed No70c558$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+80%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f5c…91bfbacked No70c506$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d17…1e5ebacked No70c490$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b92…f4c6backed No70c483$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c4c…be9fbacked Yes29c454$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa457…1a93backed No70c432$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dfd…946bbacked Yes30c423$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28c8…a94dbacked No70c421$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes32c394.31$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.632231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-22.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…8085backed Yes30c386$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd19a…5b88backed Yes30c376$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.2560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+114.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54f2…55d9backed No70c376$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6163…58ccbacked No70c357$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-75%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6317…e864backed Yes28c346$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.12862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9720…f4d1backed No72c346$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b9…5f57backed No70c345$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bef…1e38backed Yes30c342$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+67.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x465c…6e53backed No70c333$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.1425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-62.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f5…d7aabacked No70c331$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe87e…4f70backed Yes31c328$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.24837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd719…d8e5backed Yes30c318$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d5…b5cebacked Yes30c303$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eae…3562backed No70c303$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-54.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5885…6562backed No70c302$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked No67c300$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027951.9%41 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8349…69e5backed No69c298$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.62520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a5…c0edbacked No70c296$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.240%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x941a…90c4backed Yes30c280$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1964100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+98%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43d7…54a7backed Yes29c280$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86c5…4c23backed Yes30c260$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+103.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x36b0…f5bebacked Yes31c259$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.711127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb2e…7c01backed No71c245$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.95728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe62…6d76backed No70c234$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9264…3734backed Yes30c228$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+64.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf7f…f745backed No70c223$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d93…7f30backed Yes30c220$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1541100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x524c…ab94backed No70c220$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e17…c6b5backed Yes28c216$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x322a…3274backed No72c216$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.5250%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x557a…9f70backed No70c212$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x451a…a0c9backed No70c212$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-59.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x53de…b486backed Yes30c203$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cae…c0eebacked No70c199$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.31136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-48.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked No11c192.77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.73839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dd…1bb5backed Yes30c156$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d4…e1efbacked Yes30c155$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f5…b461backed Yes30c153$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523024.3%56 W · 174 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…7523backed No70c149$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8718…6741backed No70c125$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad90…9090backed Yes30c111$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.71040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x848d…76c1backed Yes30c110$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick38cpaid+120.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked No10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10370%0 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd41…3796backed Yes30c84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18fa…3730backed No71c81$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83be…6f94backed No69c68$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9240%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8959…50f8backed No70c66$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1633…8bf6backed Yes30c62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5829…e46bbacked Yes30c59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+159.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ab…d0a0backed No70c52$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x159f…333fbacked Yes30c49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13b6…ba85backed Yes30c46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff26…b20dbacked No68c42.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.813743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No66c38.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.179045.6%41 W · 49 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e79…e974backed No70c37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae0…4590backed No70c35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8975…ffe6backed No66c22.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.762867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.