NFL · resolved market
Will the Philadelphia Eagles be eliminated in the Divisional Round?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5d1f013a480465e50fa756a4d28c1574aa438388225d28106507c3594909a5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 32c | 1,170$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…89d8backed Yes | 31c | 924$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…81a5backed No | 69c | 785$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…4d86backed No | 69c | 768$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked No | 68c | 725$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f2…6a72backed No | 69c | 634$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed Yes | 31c | 630$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2d…caf4backed Yes | 31c | 557$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked No | 68c | 543$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…6853backed Yes | 31c | 228$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3f…6e13backed Yes | 32c | 122$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…70a2backed No | 69c | 112$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…0959backed No | 69c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…9ef2backed No | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles be eliminated in the Divisional Round?this page
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?Yes won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the Super Bowl?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.