Token Launches · resolved market
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fc5a80c0bb51f34664e17fbb5014611364bf555815bbd0836deed86e8986594
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $301,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $261,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed No | 20c | 40,900$8,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,123.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Yes | 80c | 40,141$32,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,028.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked No | 1c | 21,586$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.91 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b9…c434backed No | 3c | 10,551$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e3…d0debacked No | 0c | 6,450$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed No | 2c | 5,750$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125b…0336backed No | 21c | 5,693$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 5c | 4,680$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.52 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 5c | 4,504$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.27 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4c…1cc2backed No | 5c | 4,417$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 4,365$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.65 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…4927backed No | 3c | 4,282$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…decfbacked No | 5c | 3,968$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 4c | 3,908$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.54 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 1c | 3,543$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 3,473$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9db…d937backed No | 3c | 3,220$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…05eebacked No | 9c | 3,200$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.6 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05fd…50c9backed No | 43c | 3,005$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.69 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 3c | 2,936$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed No | 3c | 2,296$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +23.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 0c | 2,266$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 2,189$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…f4bdbacked No | 3c | 2,146$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 2c | 2,100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 166 | 2.4%4 W · 162 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…d21fbacked No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…7875backed No | 12c | 2,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed No | 11c | 1,974$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.1 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…9689backed No | 1c | 1,913$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 3c | 1,879$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…b993backed No | 5c | 1,751$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…124abacked No | 2c | 1,641$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd6…ff27backed No | 1c | 1,579$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 7c | 1,280$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…24c4backed No | 4c | 1,249$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 6c | 1,240$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 3c | 1,200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d05…76e7backed Yes | 62c | 1,122$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac35…0422backed No | 6c | 1,071$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef97…b8fcbacked No | 5c | 1,019$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf56…6f8ebacked No | 2c | 999.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked No | 21c | 968$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed No | 76c | 924$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…de6bbacked No | 12c | 913.51$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked No | 4c | 900$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 124 | 3.2%4 W · 120 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 11c | 900$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed No | 4c | 874.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2e…8abfbacked No | 2c | 823.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed No | 2c | 807.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…c715backed No | 11c | 805.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…7fc6backed Yes | 22c | 753$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked Yes | 23c | 719$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 2c | 679.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…50f8backed No | 77c | 666$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 4c | 629.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 4c | 600$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 123 | 4.1%5 W · 118 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2764…1280backed No | 3c | 575.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -70%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 4c | 567.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…f4c6backed Yes | 24c | 560$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167b…24abbacked No | 12c | 501.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked No | 78c | 498$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 9c | 463.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…63d8backed No | 5c | 456.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 25c | 410.57$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.24 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf28f…c6ccbacked No | 25c | 396.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 5c | 395.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019b…fddbbacked No | 8c | 354.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed Yes | 24c | 333$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 4c | 320$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 75 | 4%3 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…da43backed No | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…50dbbacked No | 6c | 297.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 5c | 282.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…be9bbacked No | 5c | 275.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…09e0backed Yes | 63c | 272$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked No | 37c | 272$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked Yes | 56c | 267$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…b842backed No | 44c | 267$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fa…80c9backed No | 22c | 265.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked No | 78c | 255$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…06fbbacked No | 8c | 250.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…079abacked No | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 10c | 247$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 18c | 239.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8f…92bbbacked No | 6c | 229.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…a34fbacked Yes | 25c | 215.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.58 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…e7e6backed No | 5c | 210$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +73%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc723…7778backed No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdad…6162backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 6c | 199.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f21…4883backed No | 6c | 189.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9d…348dbacked No | 10c | 179.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…3126backed No | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 35c | 130$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a4…aa66backed No | 26c | 130$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…8275backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…ce26backed No | 21c | 123.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…da90backed No | 11c | 120.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked No | 13c | 113.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 55 | 3.6%2 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45a9…1ce4backed No | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?this page
- Will Flying Tulip launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Flying Tulip launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Flying Tulip launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.