Middle East · resolved market
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd0c9092cd2b2059c1487de5fc2145f19702d314039a8d10df55d206d08058f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9c…b418backed Yes | 16c | 2,257$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed Yes | 15c | 2,022$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.35 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked Yes | 13c | 1,440$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…84e3backed Yes | 15c | 1,378$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 8c | 1,339$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +20.0wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 15c | 1,251$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.58 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed Yes | 15c | 1,233$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.95 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 13c | 1,208$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.44 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed Yes | 15c | 1,078$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1712backed Yes | 15c | 1,061$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d42ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,014$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374b…9a1fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,013$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a40…d801backed Yes | 16c | 952.39$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…74b0backed Yes | 14c | 944$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed Yes | 15c | 909$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…ccecbacked Yes | 11c | 886$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d2…6698backed Yes | 15c | 864$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…8e90backed Yes | 15c | 848$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…15ddbacked Yes | 15c | 835$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0c…36eebacked Yes | 15c | 779$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9d…565fbacked Yes | 29c | 733.51$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…bcf0backed Yes | 15c | 732$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2145…1e5dbacked Yes | 16c | 730$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 5c | 719.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c2…1be5backed Yes | 15c | 707$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed Yes | 15c | 657$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…57e8backed Yes | 15c | 610$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed Yes | 16c | 588$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd68…cdd3backed Yes | 15c | 542$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2e…fe02backed Yes | 15c | 445$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…2380backed Yes | 15c | 445$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +122.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…e86dbacked Yes | 15c | 420$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed Yes | 15c | 413$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 38cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95e8…6f21backed Yes | 15c | 403$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…4477backed Yes | 15c | 387$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked Yes | 16c | 381$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…5a04backed Yes | 33c | 378.6$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.03 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…b75ebacked Yes | 15c | 369$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…9ca7backed Yes | 15c | 363$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25df…6fffbacked Yes | 31c | 324.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506a…1b43backed Yes | 11c | 316$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…2f88backed Yes | 32c | 310$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed No | 68c | 306.72$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.52 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 16c | 284$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…1796backed Yes | 15c | 284$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 7c | 274.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 18c | 273.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked Yes | 15c | 267$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…af45backed Yes | 15c | 255$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…735dbacked Yes | 15c | 231$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…0a4cbacked Yes | 30c | 201.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00b…fbcabacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed Yes | 16c | 193$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 185.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…1524backed Yes | 28c | 176.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…91fdbacked Yes | 14c | 171$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +73%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…095ebacked Yes | 14c | 168$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 11c | 165$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 75c | 163.17$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 161 | 73.9%119 W · 42 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 73c | 158.04$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 73c | 144.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 16c | 135.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed Yes | 15c | 135$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…3dc3backed Yes | 16c | 126.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +406.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0517…955dbacked Yes | 17c | 110.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +235.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c5…a0f3backed Yes | 29c | 104$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90fa…b658backed Yes | 14c | 102.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d0…fabcbacked Yes | 18c | 102.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 202 | 39.1%79 W · 123 L | +20.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…ddd3backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294d…b362backed No | 75c | 95.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…bf22backed Yes | 11c | 93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16c…70ccbacked Yes | 13c | 92.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +331.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…8ba6backed Yes | 23c | 91.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…f3ccbacked No | 76c | 89.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b2…0d0abacked Yes | 15c | 87.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 30c | 87.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…dab5backed Yes | 35c | 86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 74c | 82.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 101 | 65.3%66 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…3d47backed Yes | 28c | 81.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…edacbacked Yes | 22c | 67.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…cb7fbacked Yes | 31c | 65.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…0b2ebacked No | 79c | 57.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2134…0734backed Yes | 29c | 57.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…7ef9backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x343d…cd2ebacked No | 78c | 40.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 74c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…6c5dbacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7089…9160backed Yes | 29c | 38.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…2b33backed No | 62c | 35.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…b3d5backed No | 73c | 33.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffdd…c06fbacked No | 52c | 25.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 74c | 23.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 84 | 82.1%69 W · 15 L | +11.8wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…1a0cbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x855f…3cc4backed No | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?this page
- Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by June 30?No won
- Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by June 30?No won
- Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30No won
- Will Indonesia recognize Israel by June 30?No won
- Will Iraq recognize Israel by June 30?No won
- Will Kuwait recognize Israel by June 30?No won
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No won
- Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30?No won
- Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?No won
- Will Pakistan recognize Israel by June 30?No won
- Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?No won
- Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.