Middle East · resolved market
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6a8bdcd0a55507e718303dbc04373821a35433b4a71de55ee759f10ee6be798
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $262,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 4c | 20,849$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.1 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +20.0wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…b803backed Yes | 0c | 12,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x364f…1515backed Yes | 19c | 8,694$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99f…8742backed Yes | 18c | 8,521$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce9…06b4backed Yes | 26c | 6,792$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.74 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 52c | 5,337$2,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.02 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…8195backed Yes | 14c | 4,593$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.05 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…53b3backed Yes | 1c | 3,567$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d3…82e1backed No | 43c | 3,081$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.75 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…20febacked Yes | 1c | 2,918$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3df…03a3backed Yes | 1c | 2,907$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 67c | 2,511$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.96 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45dc…e94dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,505$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 35c | 2,311$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.53 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae52…405cbacked Yes | 20c | 2,242$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.41 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2549…74f7backed No | 78c | 2,040$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.07 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…6622backed Yes | 49c | 1,878$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…91a9backed No | 50c | 1,873$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +131.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…9e42backed Yes | 55c | 1,816$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 79c | 1,744$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.9 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…d94dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,698$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.68 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x053b…f9b1backed Yes | 10c | 1,527$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…af68backed Yes | 21c | 1,500$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…bad8backed Yes | 7c | 1,468$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5a…e6aebacked No | 51c | 1,433$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.17 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 26c | 1,342$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 6c | 1,338$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 20c | 1,250$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.96 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629f…6babbacked Yes | 2c | 1,242$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81a…8a17backed Yes | 24c | 1,178$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x566a…0d19backed Yes | 25c | 1,097$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.61 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 10c | 1,092$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.16 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9a38backed Yes | 15c | 1,039$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3732…43acbacked No | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +76%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…7754backed Yes | 50c | 990$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…cc17backed Yes | 76c | 982.44$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked Yes | 50c | 977$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…ea15backed No | 78c | 974.91$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.23 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed Yes | 17c | 920$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked No | 45c | 920$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0051backed No | 45c | 896$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cb…5b30backed Yes | 1c | 800.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 60c | 789.75$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.58 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes | 26c | 778.31$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.02 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 765.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…3880backed Yes | 29c | 761.02$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.95 | 133 | 21.8%29 W · 104 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…089bbacked Yes | 22c | 744.8$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.78 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 11c | 737.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 40c | 733.48$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.75 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 2c | 733.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 24c | 732.21$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.7 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 25c | 647.09$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.41 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…a11dbacked Yes | 23c | 643.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea6…b249backed Yes | 79c | 636.18$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 16c | 634.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.67 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0502…54c6backed No | 63c | 632.56$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked No | 45c | 632$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.6 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…63b6backed Yes | 55c | 632$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…65abbacked No | 20c | 615.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.53 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…0ce1backed Yes | 38c | 609.81$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed No | 46c | 599.97$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.33 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…edbebacked Yes | 9c | 592.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…6beabacked Yes | 50c | 589$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…2fddbacked Yes | 34c | 587.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed No | 77c | 579.63$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.96 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…5529backed Yes | 17c | 578.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…666fbacked Yes | 17c | 553.52$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 3c | 550$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 337 | 41.2%139 W · 198 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb6…e64bbacked Yes | 51c | 532.81$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.85 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…0451backed Yes | 33c | 527$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 8c | 518.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec9…b7c0backed Yes | 19c | 518$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 51c | 514.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.99 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed Yes | 43c | 500.69$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.82 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…4391backed Yes | 77c | 491.86$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…efa3backed No | 74c | 471.44$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.71 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -10.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…ea25backed Yes | 17c | 469.81$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c5…bdacbacked Yes | 18c | 466.45$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 18c | 465.54$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.09 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Yes | 26c | 461.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.31 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe512…43d1backed No | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…d725backed No | 51c | 445$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…d56bbacked Yes | 62c | 435.48$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +185.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x636c…ea28backed No | 67c | 433$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked No | 50c | 429$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…69debacked Yes | 24c | 420.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 74c | 419.25$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.52 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 80c | 417.06$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.97 | 306 | 35.9%110 W · 196 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e8…8676backed Yes | 5c | 412.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c2…1be5backed No | 67c | 409$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3c…54a8backed Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 20cpaid | +174.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 16c | 399.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…f005backed No | 36c | 395.58$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +179.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b6…5de0backed No | 77c | 391.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed Yes | 38c | 380$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 45c | 376.55$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +190%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked No | 54c | 376.03$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.53 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…b53bbacked Yes | 26c | 375.78$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 74c | 375.19$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.07 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9986…27aebacked Yes | 40c | 374.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?this page
- Will Iran strike Afghanistan by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Armenia by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Cyprus by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Germany by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Hungary by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike India by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Israel by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Poland by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Spain by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Iran strike Ukraine by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike Yemen by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.