CS2 · resolved market
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x187dfbbe905eee7cdeb4cdf7b54dbbf26d6f67e290d37ece947d2a01d99e8e3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,487,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,135,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,487,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Yes | 0c | 649,847$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.85 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5b…691dbacked Yes | 0c | 245,510$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 1c | 169,511$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…b602backed Yes | 0c | 135,900$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Yes | 0c | 51,581$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…96dbbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…2b5cbacked Yes | 0c | 26,560$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d5…c665backed Yes | 12c | 22,411$2,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…c5aebacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Yes | 0c | 17,238$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b68…b1e6backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…46c5backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9f…069fbacked Yes | 0c | 14,447$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a0…0ae9backed Yes | 0c | 14,208$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c6…6dbabacked Yes | 4c | 11,880$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd414…a4dbbacked Yes | 2c | 11,138$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 0c | 11,010$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x386a…f99fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,464$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,382$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bd…ceaabacked Yes | 1c | 10,096$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c28…12dabacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…d5cdbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…60abbacked Yes | 0c | 7,738$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 35c | 6,940$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97a…ee37backed Yes | 1c | 6,374$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb630…f3e6backed Yes | 3c | 5,390$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…92e9backed Yes | 1c | 5,101$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…5409backed Yes | 1c | 5,050$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4282…3455backed Yes | 1c | 4,582$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf65b…e257backed Yes | 43c | 4,569$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9507…7b04backed Yes | 6c | 3,370$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a70…3fc8backed Yes | 61c | 2,924$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.13 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…b2efbacked Yes | 19c | 2,862$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 20c | 2,803$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 58c | 2,519$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.87 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca5…9343backed Yes | 1c | 2,366$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed Yes | 5c | 2,300$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…b9c2backed Yes | 2c | 2,264$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 22c | 2,190$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 4c | 1,640$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 2c | 1,634$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Yes | 13c | 1,575$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked Yes | 19c | 1,548$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,497$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…5635backed Yes | 1c | 1,436$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 6c | 1,434$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 66c | 1,413$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 66c | 1,337$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 41c | 1,312$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…445cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,276$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed No | 76c | 1,247$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.07 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe990…50f1backed Yes | 1c | 1,231$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8c…47c0backed Yes | 1c | 1,213$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 1c | 1,110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…6c6bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,066$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc7…a9ddbacked Yes | 32c | 1,052$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aac…d1e3backed Yes | 1c | 1,018$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 51c | 973.78$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 22c | 956$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 6c | 935.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…add3backed Yes | 15c | 935$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 32c | 924.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…99f7backed Yes | 15c | 904$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382a…b590backed Yes | 2c | 900$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 16c | 886.3$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.62 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…510cbacked Yes | 18c | 833.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 63c | 771$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.77 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…be42backed Yes | 77c | 721.41$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Yes | 22c | 718.56$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 67c | 701.54$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.54 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked No | 68c | 696.28$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 49c | 650$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 10c | 629.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…8c30backed Yes | 15c | 606$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3779…f61cbacked Yes | 17c | 591.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…e025backed Yes | 15c | 582$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed Yes | 16c | 579$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 54c | 552.35$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 52c | 500$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 24c | 500$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 49c | 500$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed No | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.13 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 20c | 491.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 20c | 438.42$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.91 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Yes | 64c | 401.54$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.1 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Yes | 37c | 401.48$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 49c | 400$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.88 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Yes | 4c | 399.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…fd3bbacked Yes | 76c | 390.41$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.83 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.7wins | -0.47per pick | 67cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…76a4backed Yes | 22c | 364.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca16…f878backed Yes | 33c | 342$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 49c | 340.72$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x922d…ac68backed Yes | 62c | 300$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb7…4482backed Yes | 20c | 290$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afa…eff3backed Yes | 10c | 285.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.