Tweets · resolved market
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83ba359132d1360e9256bfbbcd36219eb6a9693774c6c883b40797d88036843a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 11c | 1,221$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.31 | 233 | 21%49 W · 184 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…a829backed Yes | 13c | 814$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 3c | 640$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c2…7f19backed Yes | 15c | 512$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…1f50backed No | 80c | 379$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…e025backed Yes | 20c | 379$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…a29ebacked Yes | 15c | 338$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 5c | 319.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 6c | 303.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 84 | 9.5%8 W · 76 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…5a39backed Yes | 9c | 276.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 144 | 11.1%16 W · 128 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae0…9f81backed Yes | 24c | 220$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5830…f928backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 166 | 11.4%19 W · 147 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Yes | 13c | 199.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed Yes | 16c | 198.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…73febacked Yes | 17c | 190.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 177.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 15c | 134.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…59d3backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…5679backed Yes | 14c | 94.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…7a52backed Yes | 11c | 92.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05d…1deebacked Yes | 36c | 32.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?this page
- Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 190-219 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 220-249 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 250-279 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 280-309 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 310-339 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 340-369 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 370-399 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 400-429 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 430-459 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 460-489 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 490-519 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 520-549 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 550-579 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 580-609 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 610-639 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 640-669 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 670-699 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 700+ posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.