TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tweets · resolved market

Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,705
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,211

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,705 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tweets
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37b2…8681backed Yes64c1,844$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.0423321%49 W · 184 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…5790backed Yes42c1,225$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.31070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0625…ab49backed Yes43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6841100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No44c1,150$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.4816969.2%117 W · 52 L+17.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+13%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x239d…f8a5backed No2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3e…2755backed No57c847.22$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.79633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes60c700.74$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.5282711%91 W · 736 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e53…5a39backed No62c649.5$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.9914411.1%16 W · 128 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ae…57e8backed Yes22c625$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick25cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eac…92cabacked No78c566$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x225f…e4e2backed Yes49c548.78$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed No60c533.46$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.963408.2%28 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x540a…64c9backed No58c513.89$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.75862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d82…7d33backed Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003520%7 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-65.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb767…9b51backed Yes26c488$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick16cpaid+213.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49d5…1eb0backed No68c416.57$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8269…7c3abacked Yes26c400.13$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.13219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes45c399.96$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9842628.2%120 W · 306 L-38.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-40.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No53c397.46$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.6231565.1%205 W · 110 L-1.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x023c…86f1backed No60c393.94$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.331931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+102.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9676…4374backed No58c358.28$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.81250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked No7c357.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.111216.6%8 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe358…296abacked Yes42c314.06$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc101…e6d1backed Yes37c300$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1902623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No51c298.54$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8943933%145 W · 294 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed No56c286.19$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.2720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No58c281.87$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.6751845.9%238 W · 280 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45f0…4435backed No74c271$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x040b…bbc5backed No58c270.66$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.98850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No23c260.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.823464.5%151 W · 83 L+23.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcc75…a085backed No51c256.03$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.291668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60f7…80d2backed Yes36c250$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed No13c249.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5110%0 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes40c249.11$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.81507.3%11 W · 139 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes62c240$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.232716.8%55 W · 272 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x472a…2dadbacked Yes50c218.93$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.47911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-77.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x12ef…f5cebacked No74c217$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes9c215.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4651018.2%93 W · 417 L-89.7wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-49.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x36cb…63d0backed Yes18c201.07$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2628211%31 W · 251 L-0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7022…f64ebacked No57c201.05$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.162040%8 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a2d…e075backed Yes50c200.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.267833.3%26 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No39c200$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773762.2%23 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf72d…8d07backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed Yes24c200$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1521833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88db…9a53backed No39c200$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7730%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e50…98f0backed Yes11c200$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17933027.9%92 W · 238 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3608…f911backed No51c199.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked No62c199.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7910335.9%37 W · 66 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+108%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb64f…0d2abacked No67c199.98$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No59c196.36$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3379735.9%286 W · 511 L-34.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No50c189.04$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9137830.7%116 W · 262 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1137…978dbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6810032%32 W · 68 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…deefbacked No12c179.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7719…4cc6backed No57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf722…3f41backed No57c170.18$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf40…38b8backed No52c150.91$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.169058.9%53 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes79c149.94$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0415819%30 W · 128 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bcb…b296backed No54c148.71$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd22a…98d4backed Yes39c147.76$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+154%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked Yes77c145.28$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5310330.1%31 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee01…b01fbacked No62c142.18$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3617…aa10backed Yes43c140$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd9…56e1backed Yes45c133.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95bc…de29backed Yes43c130.23$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+68.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No64c126.57$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1726167%175 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb9…47b0backed No56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8c…f73cbacked Yes44c125$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9df0…e930backed No51c121.71$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.07333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No59c120.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1762539.5%247 W · 378 L+48.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes38c117.02$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1778811.5%91 W · 697 L-33.7wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-42.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc452…1a9ebacked Yes43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551d…6f67backed No58c115.52$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b30…d326backed Yes18c110.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.511735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked No80c104.75$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7578111.3%88 W · 693 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-44.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e9…f0b7backed Yes33c102.06$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00f0…7958backed Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e13…3509backed No58c102$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec72…6a6bbacked Yes33c101.94$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1698…01bdbacked Yes43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked No61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.51250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a82…c2c1backed No58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583729.7%11 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd43e…b2c0backed No55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb5d…c305backed Yes42c99.68$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…ed78backed Yes50c98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18c7…77b2backed No57c96.49$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfb…e887backed Yes43c95$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.151827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x374b…ef5ebacked No58c94.38$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73d4…8e25backed Yes42c90.48$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56a…2f69backed No56c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1016…c866backed No56c86.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.554022.5%9 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b9…1951backed No56c83.5$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.341136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e8a…0582backed Yes25c83.37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+297%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b55…076fbacked Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa98d…3560backed Yes47c83.24$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes23c82$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1435024%84 W · 266 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0842…222cbacked Yes49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacee…9134backed No57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc555…6a88backed No58c79.31$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5359…5a5fbacked No58c78.88$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.75366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a3…3b63backed Yes45c77.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.