TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tweets · resolved market

Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,321
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,515

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,321 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tweets
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37b2…8681backed Yes37c1,171$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.6523321%49 W · 184 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed No69c882.11$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.322,55213.1%335 W · 2,217 L+4.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes39c849.61$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.831507.3%11 W · 139 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78ba…f02dbacked No52c764.21$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8928…4887backed Yes46c607.87$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x225f…e4e2backed Yes48c569$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf114…6eccbacked Yes22c555$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.261315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9f…c0d4backed Yes48c509$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ff…59d3backed Yes10c500$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.51421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes18c493.63$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1782711%91 W · 736 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes39c479.39$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.623408.2%28 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes4c470.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9315819%30 W · 128 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes16c440.53$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5610335.9%37 W · 66 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+108%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf92a…9134backed Yes17c440$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01d6…0511backed Yes48c431$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes25c420$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.442628.2%120 W · 306 L-38.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-40.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf25b…82d0backed Yes3c402.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.282231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f80…7a52backed Yes23c376.49$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.495238.5%20 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d4d…10b1backed No54c375$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6891…1146backed Yes48c353$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcae0…9f81backed Yes13c340$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick17cpaid+10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No61c334.39$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6437830.7%116 W · 262 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3e…2755backed No54c320$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc101…e6d1backed Yes39c298$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1152623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes19c268.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7632716.8%55 W · 272 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad0…8645backed Yes42c250.69$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8269…7c3abacked Yes16c248.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ab0…a0e2backed Yes34c243.37$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Yes7c236.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.352330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfb…e887backed Yes20c214.96$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.91827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1137…978dbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010032%32 W · 68 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc75…a085backed Yes46c202.44$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.91668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Yes35c202.13$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7041718%75 W · 342 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No59c196.29$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1543933%145 W · 294 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No53c179.62$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4731565.1%205 W · 110 L-1.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x472a…2dadbacked Yes47c179.25$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.25911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-77.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e53…5a39backed No64c176.92$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.314411.1%16 W · 128 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c9…d567backed No67c171.14$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.08728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-59.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked No70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.51250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5606…9bd7backed Yes31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked Yes15c145.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.310330.1%31 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdf4…59b4backed No66c144.55$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.787533.3%25 W · 50 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x540a…64c9backed No66c138.67$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.55862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea11…4135backed No67c133.09$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bcb…b296backed No55c127.17$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.17560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b30…d326backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes29c121.66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5552619.8%104 W · 422 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc3b…c2ecbacked Yes34c118.12$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.755837.9%22 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbad…0661backed Yes27c116.52$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315230.8%16 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No60c113.98$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8326167%175 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes16c113.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.313119.1%25 W · 106 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5830…f928backed Yes21c106.84$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9416611.4%19 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f0…7958backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d0…b986backed Yes42c101$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeba…3ff3backed Yes33c100.01$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf5…fdb8backed No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1e13…3509backed Yes36c99.19$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5748…afc3backed Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x742a…a133backed Yes42c89.43$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d3…d5ccbacked Yes42c86.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0348…795cbacked Yes42c81.3$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7022…f64ebacked No66c74.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.312040%8 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8f…69e1backed Yes42c74.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72e5…6412backed No65c58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61b…85cabacked No51c57.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.05560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed Yes47c50.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.541546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84da…84f6backed No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x736c…66f5backed Yes48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74bc…124abacked Yes43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x936e…ca1fbacked No67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf35e…e89fbacked No78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick79cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb80…34c6backed Yes49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.570%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4980…f038backed No66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b84…9ba4backed No62c49.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1016…c866backed No67c47.13$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.634022.5%9 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cbb…8fa5backed No78c45.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f79…da18backed No60c44.62$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3608…f911backed No51c43.11$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.12862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0c…4e61backed No53c41.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb392…0b80backed Yes49c40.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207431.1%23 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x338b…8a3fbacked Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…99adbacked Yes47c36.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3410434.6%36 W · 68 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc90e…2b70backed No60c36.05$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.423100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03d0…d647backed No64c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.455543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb25f…a460backed Yes44c34.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaf…61a7backed Yes49c33.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8762…8a1ebacked Yes42c31.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe957…0988backed Yes49c30.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e08…c76abacked Yes34c30.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5599619.8%197 W · 799 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3692…2136backed No68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.413100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac2c…ea01backed Yes42c28.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eae…7d0cbacked Yes42c26.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d4…5933backed Yes48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123225%8 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…7db8backed No53c24.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28c0…b079backed Yes42c24.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf924…435bbacked No55c24.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b6…04e6backed No60c23.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.