TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,737
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,525

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,737 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x042a…b153backed Yes32c10,972$3,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,498.081533.3%5 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd498…80aebacked Yes34c10,446$3,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,852.77955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.27per pick28cpaid+70.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes35c10,228$3,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,683.9715932.7%52 W · 107 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+102.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0523…e38bbacked No75c7,255$5,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,422.164037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes19c4,304$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,498.1213334.6%46 W · 87 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…662dbacked Yes32c4,086$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,791.93650%3 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+46.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x581e…bdeabacked Yes57c3,487$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.04560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes16c3,236$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,720.591216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d4…6dddbacked Yes25c3,125$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.473336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes13c2,817$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.946883.6%25 W · 663 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6632…92a0backed Yes24c2,653$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,019.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.46per pick20cpaid+134.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2502…02e0backed No63c2,539$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.041625%4 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Yes16c2,240$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.05450%2 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+193.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0751…b391backed Yes8c2,139$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,974.411717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd39…39ecbacked Yes28c1,887$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes10c1,707$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+275.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4be5…c1b3backed Yes17c1,658$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.777828.2%22 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes24c1,620$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.577618.4%14 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-49.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes10c1,606$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.67817.9%14 W · 64 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde11…c4afbacked Yes20c1,440$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.83333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+68.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x758f…dfb7backed Yes66c1,402$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Yes29c1,331$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.781127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8296…e9cbbacked Yes30c1,308$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.192040%8 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+178.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes14c1,292$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.154766.5%31 W · 445 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dbe…057abacked Yes20c1,150$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+191.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes14c1,119$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.1515230.3%46 W · 106 L-18.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x720f…d430backed Yes55c1,117$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.941070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+56.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47f5…934dbacked Yes14c1,000$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8597420.3%15 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd66e…a6fabacked Yes26c767.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.14333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Yes19c744.68$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.68633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+86.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62db…f6c6backed Yes7c735.62$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.62812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick5cpaid+73.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes35c734.15$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.881225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-49.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4866…3f3bbacked Yes20c711.51$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.63825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x677c…8d8dbacked Yes30c693.17$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+59.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd05d…88c5backed Yes14c676.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.04540%2 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick17cpaid+161.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes11c666$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.0931534%107 W · 208 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Yes13c662.71$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.966836.8%25 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae8d…210fbacked Yes15c652.16$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+122.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee9…a201backed Yes42c636.6$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.373100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x94de…5679backed No73c545.69$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes20c538.22$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.9414126.2%37 W · 104 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8619…3935backed Yes23c533.4$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+115.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b3c…110bbacked Yes8c519.21$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.03425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+200.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf35e…e89fbacked Yes7c513.02$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+352.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fcd…de5ebacked No60c505.91$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.87650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4be7…a7bfbacked Yes19c496.91$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+162%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x265b…b463backed Yes33c491.75$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.8742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes25c480.44$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.9214027.9%39 W · 101 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-38.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7903…f0f3backed Yes9c477.13$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.13333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+287.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9941…7fd9backed Yes11c477$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.05560%3 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick20cpaid+247.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1010…fa57backed Yes15c400$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.81747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+133.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes6c385.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.911,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa377…4eb3backed Yes17c367$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.791118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3f5…6cdcbacked Yes40c365.83$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f87…f277backed Yes15c362.92$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.41936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf01b…24a5backed Yes19c359$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick21cpaid+150.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34a6…558bbacked No40c340$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.95714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-80.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6112…b80fbacked Yes18c330.97$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f32…a15cbacked Yes30c327.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.911145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick23cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x59cd…716fbacked Yes12c325$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.86966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+135%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12db…7275backed Yes31c322.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be1…3feabacked Yes5c304.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.81933.3%3 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+604.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes26c303.37$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.6813139.7%52 W · 79 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd163…6c37backed Yes28c300$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.1560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick26cpaid+211.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c47…ecaebacked Yes28c290$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+80.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d22…da8bbacked Yes11c287$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.86944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+52.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b52…d558backed No76c280.51$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.951540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7a…5e8bbacked Yes14c267.3$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+624.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x612d…3fd1backed Yes11c254$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.55333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+197.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes46c250$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.585058%29 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Yes29c242.37$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.37520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88cd…3f5bbacked Yes11c234.85$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+800.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ae5…a2a0backed No70c230.54$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No69c222.79$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6818246.2%84 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f51…4964backed Yes22c218.29$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+51.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1e5…8e79backed Yes13c216.83$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.33540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick18cpaid+156%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7321…1812backed Yes11c212$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.471741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7437…9897backed Yes6c206.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,485.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ced…c076backed Yes19c205.37$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.371241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes19c200$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1637216.7%12 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-55.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Yes30c196.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.772100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+135.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d9…c253backed Yes7c183.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+635.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf3…328cbacked Yes8c175.35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,182.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes10c171.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.7599017.2%170 W · 820 L-148.8wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x9551…8c45backed No75c170.96$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.031662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ca…b5bfbacked Yes29c169.71$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+246.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7cd…6bf4backed Yes32c164.83$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+58.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f85…8693backed Yes10c162.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.21837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick16cpaid+145.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes10c151.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.56426.6%17 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b0f…7af1backed Yes13c148.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.93560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+127.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x259e…1484backed Yes16c143.46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.03333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+113.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c2e…e025backed Yes11c142$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.11338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03d0…d647backed Yes39c140$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.534254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9576…0841backed Yes16c138.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.69450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+279.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes21c133.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.181,02228%286 W · 736 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes9c126.47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.842543.5%9 W · 245 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe95d…3d9cbacked Yes16c124.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+523.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7022…f64ebacked Yes28c122.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.985837.9%22 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes9c121.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.54806.3%5 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe947…7a45backed No62c120$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2817044.1%75 W · 95 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.