TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,181 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked No78c2,257$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.472,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes48c1,691$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.0739637.1%147 W · 249 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3de…5339backed No50c1,601$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.194100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+125.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88c4…758bbacked No48c1,430$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes50c1,238$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.9836647.3%173 W · 193 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f8…5145backed Yes47c1,154$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12c2…aa71backed No50c1,094$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No51c1,048$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.5786960.4%525 W · 344 L+91.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfd41…3796backed Yes43c1,044$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+82.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5383…88f0backed Yes38c994$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d91…89d8backed Yes39c956$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa55b…857bbacked No60c944$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce25…4e7dbacked No52c935$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9778…1d7bbacked Yes35c917$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5661…ef17backed No65c894$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1184…1b67backed No53c875$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+126.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x466e…ed99backed Yes42c858$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…f8a1backed No62c822$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick37cpaid+435.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdfe…6108backed Yes50c813$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f3…a7fabacked Yes50c807$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes48c800.05$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.411,44151.1%736 W · 705 L-16.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9818…7cd3backed Yes39c797.5$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4346…2241backed Yes32c784$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x987e…990dbacked No50c783$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc3c…d42ebacked Yes33c777$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.41425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x252c…391abacked No48c775$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.792100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+213.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf40b…7181backed No50c769$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dfd…946bbacked No65c758$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No48c711.57$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.0237641.5%156 W · 220 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaae6…3d05backed No58c666$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe87e…4f70backed Yes50c650$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcb…f59bbacked No61c645$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa1…827bbacked No61c639$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aca…cad6backed Yes49c638$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.6220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f3e…f9d4backed Yes43c637$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+119%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f51…09adbacked Yes52c633$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No75c598.2$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.0338747.5%184 W · 203 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes33c598.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006829.4%20 W · 48 L-9.4wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-41.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd907…f15fbacked Yes50c595$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc362…7f4fbacked Yes35c580$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5cf…90e6backed No60c562$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ba…0e6abacked No49c557$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf977…aff0backed Yes51c557$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d38…e898backed Yes48c539$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaffd…b072backed No65c529$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f2…95debacked Yes50c516$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f5…b750backed Yes51c516$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+354.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcde9…d705backed No65c515$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3acc…973dbacked Yes48c511$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2232…a794backed No61c507$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe335…cd12backed No61c505$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac7…78c7backed Yes50c504$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa78e…74b0backed Yes52c496$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf888…1c04backed Yes52c491$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d04…131dbacked No48c484$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd001…3ceabacked Yes52c483$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9f…c0d4backed No53c480$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42a0…4d9abacked No53c473$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff1…85cdbacked Yes67c471$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…34e0backed Yes52c456$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c90…17fbbacked Yes40c452$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14d5…1f63backed No67c444$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes48c437$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97d1…b2efbacked No33c425$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick45cpaid+137.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb2b…a065backed No61c421$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No51c414.19$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.961,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2c3…9cefbacked Yes50c411$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c410.96$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.917,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad04…dce5backed No64c410$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7233…f0eabacked Yes39c401$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.3930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a37…141abacked No57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+94.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8058229.2%170 W · 412 L-19.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8745…4805backed Yes38c397$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2950…ffeabacked Yes50c375$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-51.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8669…7111backed No67c366$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf06d…db77backed No50c365$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+178.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed No33c361$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.87633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No51c357.53$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.193360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ed7…b0a5backed No61c356$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.84425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3df6…0f0fbacked No68c351$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc5…aeb8backed Yes32c351$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No51c344.19$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.551,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d17…1e5ebacked No68c338$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d5…2e11backed No68c334$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x848d…76c1backed Yes43c319$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No51c313.57$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5398653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2247…96e8backed No51c307$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57ab…434bbacked No57c298$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+63.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7270…add3backed Yes35c293$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe590…87bfbacked Yes40c290$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6956…dd15backed No50c289$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf614…c345backed Yes49c276$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed45…929dbacked No54c272$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec7…06a3backed Yes27c263.82$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe72c…bbf0backed Yes36c261$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6a…21c3backed No57c258$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabeb…7a78backed No52c256$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b8…0137backed Yes50c252$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+127.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29e2…6dc5backed Yes35c249$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd68…cdd3backed No60c244$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.