Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a4ef98fa64ddd4d0c031b29d5f3a121a0af3c1acb6eba20d111ea0b3bca57e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,918 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 1,624$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.31 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Yes | 16c | 967$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed Yes | 12c | 844$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff0c…36eebacked Yes | 14c | 690$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 616.07$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.63 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c1…704bbacked Yes | 14c | 613$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…115ebacked Yes | 14c | 542$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 16c | 440$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0d…1683backed Yes | 16c | 380$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…a320backed Yes | 12c | 375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 31c | 360.39$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7c…a11bbacked Yes | 14c | 331$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed Yes | 14c | 321$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…cf8abacked No | 71c | 319.33$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…5514backed Yes | 13c | 305$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 21cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…66fdbacked Yes | 14c | 283$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 264.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 33c | 249$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8c…b5ebbacked Yes | 28c | 176.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…97b3backed No | 74c | 169.29$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 28c | 160.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Yes | 37c | 138.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fa…38a0backed Yes | 39c | 115.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Yes | 28c | 115$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…f658backed Yes | 14c | 111$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Yes | 28c | 108$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked Yes | 68c | 105$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 96.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 13c | 96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 36c | 89.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 28c | 73.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 52c | 52.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 56c | 43.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Yes | 59c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6e…42d4backed No | 71c | 41.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked No | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 38.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed No | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked No | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…4761backed Yes | 64c | 31.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed No | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed No | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 71c | 28.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 56c | 27.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 72c | 26.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 49c | 24.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed No | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked No | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed No | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce8e…028abacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed No | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed No | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Dundee FC win on 2026-02-04?Yes won
- Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.