Other European Leagues · resolved market
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d36286e0b0cf99a38a08522474e2abdfcf83ed235f07c9cdcc472e32b68e84a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,624 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 14c | 5,927$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.84 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 14c | 3,002$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.28 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 14c | 2,648$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.34 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked Over | 51c | 1,270$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…e7d3backed Under | 49c | 1,012$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…7c01backed Over | 52c | 941$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…c03ebacked Over | 51c | 851$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…9184backed Under | 49c | 796$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed Over | 51c | 761$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +318.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf907…e7dbbacked Under | 49c | 746$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab38…77febacked Under | 48c | 704$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ae…bb88backed Under | 49c | 678$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9a…cc24backed Under | 49c | 626$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5880…a675backed Over | 51c | 608$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…4942backed Over | 51c | 607$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed Over | 52c | 593$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…1c15backed Over | 52c | 576$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed Under | 49c | 568$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…a3e1backed Under | 49c | 566$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Under | 14c | 485$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked Under | 48c | 461$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2971…b901backed Over | 51c | 411$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Over | 51c | 397$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead6…911fbacked Under | 49c | 397$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd70e…0ac1backed Over | 51c | 394$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Under | 49c | 389$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ead…6c75backed Over | 51c | 386$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…ac57backed Over | 51c | 384$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +80%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29f…26b4backed Under | 49c | 379$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…afb5backed Under | 49c | 379$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…99f7backed Over | 51c | 378$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed Over | 51c | 372$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874a…d584backed Under | 49c | 364$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…bdf1backed Under | 49c | 364$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…9896backed Under | 48c | 362$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea5a…e6aebacked Over | 51c | 358$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +226.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…c7afbacked Under | 49c | 358$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked Over | 51c | 352$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed Over | 51c | 330$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…e025backed Under | 49c | 329$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…72f1backed Under | 49c | 319$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked Over | 51c | 314$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…a829backed Over | 51c | 306$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec9…3213backed Under | 49c | 295$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc03…cd5cbacked Under | 49c | 288$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…35e8backed Over | 51c | 283$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Under | 49c | 269$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…78cbbacked Over | 51c | 242$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +197.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x203f…f7a5backed Over | 51c | 228$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Under | 8c | 206.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…aa07backed Under | 49c | 198$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…f5ebbacked Over | 51c | 188$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +414.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Under | 49c | 186$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…b75ebacked Over | 51c | 185$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9d…a002backed Under | 49c | 174$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2a4ebacked Under | 49c | 173$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked Under | 49c | 168$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…42efbacked Under | 49c | 155$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa347…2a40backed Over | 51c | 151$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 17c | 145$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Over | 52c | 128$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 18c | 126$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…395ebacked Under | 48c | 118$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb593…28eabacked Over | 52c | 92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +194.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed Under | 49c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed Under | 48c | 71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 18c | 62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked Under | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed Under | 49c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Over | 51c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…3c25backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.