Other European Leagues · resolved market
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23d750646e131603788b50b5b26844c65193d34e5180b87bd85d2bb9058b59b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,303 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c86…b75ebacked Under | 61c | 1,231$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Over | 39c | 720$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +482.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x656c…af94backed Over | 39c | 541$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 33cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 445.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 24c | 412.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked Under | 61c | 211$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…b54dbacked Over | 39c | 181$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +245.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 121.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 72c | 97.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 81.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 40c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Under | 26c | 43.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c48…8edfbacked Under | 40c | 42.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Under | 64c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…0f06backed Under | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked Over | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.