TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Hilal Saudi Clubof Al Hilal Saudi Club, Al Najmah Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,159 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1346…0448backed Al Najmah Saudi Club2c3,475$74 inLost-$73.7513140.5%53 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8ae…bb88backed Al Hilal Saudi Club53c852$452 inWon+$400.44450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x381c…dae1backed Al Hilal Saudi Club54c799$431 inWon+$367.54475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club9c613.33$58 inLost-$57.538229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Al Hilal Saudi Club52c600$312 inWon+$288966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8745…4805backed Al Hilal Saudi Club57c592$337 inWon+$254.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb132…6943backed Al Najmah Saudi Club47c561$261 inLost-$260.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3bc…43e9backed Al Hilal Saudi Club53c470$249 inWon+$220.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe36c…a6f0backed Al Najmah Saudi Club47c470$221 inLost-$220.9333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Al Najmah Saudi Club48c416.8$200 inLost-$2005949.2%29 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club18c413.13$74 inLost-$74.1272144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Al Najmah Saudi Club48c399.94$192 inLost-$191.9219633.2%65 W · 131 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c2e…e025backed Al Najmah Saudi Club43c318$137 inLost-$136.7430%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club53c300$158 inWon+$142.510650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Al Najmah Saudi Club47c300$141 inLost-$1416159%36 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c22…50e1backed Al Najmah Saudi Club47c292$137 inLost-$137.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb767…9b51backed Al Najmah Saudi Club46c276$127 inLost-$126.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcac…f545backed Al Najmah Saudi Club43c274$118 inLost-$117.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+60.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcd9…6c92backed Al Najmah Saudi Club47c267$125 inLost-$125.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1056…5b18backed Al Najmah Saudi Club46c255$117 inLost-$117.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-30.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Al Najmah Saudi Club48c216.3$104 inLost-$103.6610738.3%41 W · 66 L-13.1wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-32.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Al Hilal Saudi Club52c150$78 inWon+$7212147.9%58 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Al Hilal Saudi Club35c128.13$45 inWon+$82.99875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Al Hilal Saudi Club54c100$54 inWon+$466440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed Al Najmah Saudi Club48c83.47$40 inLost-$40955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Al Najmah Saudi Club63c83.33$52 inLost-$52.589955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Al Hilal Saudi Club52c76.83$40 inWon+$36.881,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Al Hilal Saudi Club57c67.67$39 inWon+$29.110340.8%42 W · 61 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Al Hilal Saudi Club52c60.3$31 inWon+$28.9411238.4%43 W · 69 L-11.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Al Hilal Saudi Club53c60$32 inWon+$28.27553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Al Najmah Saudi Club47c53.94$25 inLost-$25.1417340.5%70 W · 103 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Al Hilal Saudi Club53c50$26 inWon+$23.756152.5%32 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Al Hilal Saudi Club53c50$26 inWon+$23.754755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Al Hilal Saudi Club53c35$19 inWon+$16.4510245.1%46 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club52c35$18 inWon+$16.893446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Al Najmah Saudi Club40c30$12 inLost-$124751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Al Hilal Saudi Club59c27.7$16 inWon+$11.361,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.