TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Hilal Saudi Clubof Al Hilal Saudi Club, Al Najmah Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,911 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1346…0448backed Al Najmah Saudi Club0c6,125$18 inLost-$17.613140.5%53 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c22…50e1backed Al Hilal Saudi Club72c629$451 inWon+$178.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb6…cfe8backed Al Hilal Saudi Club72c628$450 inWon+$177.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-53.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bef…1e38backed Al Najmah Saudi Club26c430$111 inLost-$111.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87fd…66bcbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club26c427$111 inLost-$110.59633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-37.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x169a…55e4backed Al Najmah Saudi Club28c425$120 inLost-$120.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca67…703cbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club28c424$120 inLost-$119.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9a…f183backed Al Najmah Saudi Club28c408$115 inLost-$115.46520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a41…1160backed Al Najmah Saudi Club27c351$94 inLost-$94.0730%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2064…e748backed Al Hilal Saudi Club73c351$257 inWon+$94.073100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+112.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c0…c4c9backed Al Hilal Saudi Club74c294$218 inWon+$76.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x611f…1f84backed Al Hilal Saudi Club74c284$210 inWon+$73.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+175.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…a320backed Al Hilal Saudi Club74c279$207 inWon+$72.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club21c269.92$56 inLost-$56.091,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4929…b9f9backed Al Hilal Saudi Club79c269.92$214 inWon+$56.093145.2%14 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-18.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x43d5…2e11backed Al Hilal Saudi Club73c266$195 inWon+$71.29580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaf1…68cabacked Al Najmah Saudi Club27c263$70 inLost-$70.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf92a…9134backed Al Najmah Saudi Club27c258$69 inLost-$69.14560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+92.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45d3…53dcbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club73c255$187 inWon+$68.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Al Hilal Saudi Club64c137.65$89 inWon+$48.92875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Al Najmah Saudi Club38c127.65$49 inLost-$48.5189955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6da…b2cdbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club79c14.76$12 inWon+$3.12580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.