Asian League · resolved market
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58bf3f280b5095932ee526c055be8f98b69fb18c7fec69b0b0f76ed41ef3b553
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,795 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 2c | 6,859$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.66 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8697…4165backed No | 58c | 927$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…e61bbacked No | 57c | 721$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…2867backed Yes | 43c | 669$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…8adebacked Yes | 43c | 567$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked Yes | 42c | 477$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…595cbacked Yes | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcc…8ef0backed No | 57c | 375$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…38d2backed Yes | 43c | 369$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed Yes | 43c | 352$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…cfefbacked No | 57c | 294$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…e59abacked No | 57c | 251$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +194.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…41c4backed No | 54c | 245.67$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed No | 57c | 228$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656c…af94backed No | 57c | 219$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9818…7cd3backed Yes | 43c | 131$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 42c | 113.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 53c | 108.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 46c | 68.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed Yes | 46c | 64.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba08…21f1backed Yes | 46c | 61.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb1…8ec8backed Yes | 46c | 59.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed3…983fbacked Yes | 46c | 59.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.