Asian League · resolved market
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5ac0daaaaedb4bb4cb897bbb426ebee6d2b8683dcbd65fbd710927907724e19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,414 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 1c | 5,999$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…4456backed Over | 55c | 752$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked Under | 45c | 676$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…50c0backed Under | 45c | 655$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…ac4cbacked Over | 60c | 374$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2971…b901backed Under | 40c | 373$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…7773backed Over | 60c | 355$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…ef17backed Under | 41c | 303$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…2d87backed Over | 59c | 303$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed Under | 41c | 281$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked Over | 59c | 281$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Under | 69c | 262.62$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.03 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 19c | 232.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.92 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Over | 55c | 146$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +110%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 33c | 135.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Over | 55c | 77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 64c | 62.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…7f64backed Under | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Over | 60c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…f7eabacked Under | 40c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 34c | 36.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd002…2ee8backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.