South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6113ab20fb4b9489d5e9025335549dc8a9f84abc6924c934a55a3a3b8a20ab30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked Yes | 11c | 1,552$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 59c | 1,460$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.56 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa347…2a40backed Yes | 13c | 1,387$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x874a…d584backed Yes | 11c | 1,342$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…91a9backed Yes | 13c | 1,297$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +351.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b7…d913backed Yes | 13c | 956$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +501.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00c2…1be5backed Yes | 13c | 867$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +459.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed Yes | 11c | 774$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…3b33backed Yes | 11c | 759$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…56e8backed Yes | 11c | 755$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…e025backed Yes | 12c | 674$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…2238backed Yes | 11c | 644$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +418.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked Yes | 12c | 629$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb593…28eabacked Yes | 11c | 591$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c9…47c1backed Yes | 11c | 586$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 578.83$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…e62fbacked Yes | 13c | 562$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed Yes | 13c | 554$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +257.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked Yes | 13c | 522$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3087…f8fbbacked Yes | 13c | 402$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 42c | 376.87$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.73 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed Yes | 13c | 277$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +347.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…5514backed Yes | 11c | 275$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +203%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 11c | 263$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Yes | 11c | 252$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 41c | 157.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 27c | 140$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.25 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 74c | 135$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 73c | 134.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 42c | 125.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes | 11c | 117$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…e46bbacked Yes | 11c | 109$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +158.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed Yes | 11c | 108$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +417.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 41c | 97.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…efe6backed No | 73c | 87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 19c | 76.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 60.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 57.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed No | 60c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 29c | 41.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 27c | 39.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 29c | 39.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c3…01d5backed Yes | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 34.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Yes | 60c | 32.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 41c | 31.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 57c | 27.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-03-08?No won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.