AI · resolved market
Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0c3686af65350917296f0c8ef221acb4c2061281790aecf179d8080d8b08652
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked Yes | 64c | 2,000$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.92 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…5751backed Yes | 60c | 1,664$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.94 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…b75ebacked Yes | 65c | 1,409$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +96%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe24a…fc69backed No | 40c | 1,212$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…735dbacked No | 40c | 1,196$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.03 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…b4eebacked No | 40c | 1,144$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.46 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…add3backed No | 40c | 975$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.03 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed Yes | 60c | 944$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdece…08dbbacked No | 40c | 942$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…d13dbacked No | 40c | 906$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.49 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…9fa3backed Yes | 76c | 896$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…e025backed Yes | 60c | 882$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…588ebacked Yes | 60c | 823$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.38 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…87bfbacked Yes | 60c | 797$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…4b87backed No | 40c | 796$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd80d…b42bbacked Yes | 60c | 768$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…76f4backed No | 40c | 743$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x427e…5ab4backed Yes | 60c | 727$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…be53backed No | 40c | 726$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.67 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7c…a11bbacked No | 40c | 723$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked No | 40c | 677$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.12 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…92cabacked No | 40c | 668$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.53 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…4942backed No | 40c | 668$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.53 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed No | 40c | 665$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.34 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed Yes | 60c | 631$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.77 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…ef17backed Yes | 60c | 599$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c1…6512backed No | 40c | 599$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…d620backed Yes | 60c | 585$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…eb3abacked Yes | 60c | 570$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…aa07backed Yes | 60c | 567$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…b300backed No | 40c | 564$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…42efbacked Yes | 60c | 554$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…e8e9backed No | 40c | 521$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd2…ae40backed No | 40c | 513$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.69 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…a539backed No | 40c | 467$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.33 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…c888backed Yes | 60c | 464$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.14 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…6bbebacked Yes | 60c | 452$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…f5ebbacked No | 40c | 439$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.16 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed No | 18c | 436$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.04 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…8598backed Yes | 60c | 423$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.78 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked No | 24c | 421$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed No | 18c | 414$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.11 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a40…904bbacked No | 25c | 410$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.09 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked Yes | 60c | 391$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.01 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked No | 20c | 389$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x926a…3b1ebacked Yes | 60c | 388$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…7572backed Yes | 60c | 376$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab9…2ff1backed No | 40c | 374$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.23 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…6e2ebacked No | 40c | 373$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.83 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…e229backed Yes | 60c | 368$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…1f15backed Yes | 60c | 366$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1100…815ebacked No | 18c | 364$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3684…9669backed No | 40c | 361$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.04 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde62…64f6backed No | 24c | 348$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…7773backed No | 40c | 327$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x610f…1edabacked Yes | 60c | 320$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8433…6e0fbacked No | 40c | 307$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e8…6f21backed No | 40c | 303$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 52cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaec9…3213backed No | 40c | 291$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…6f41backed Yes | 60c | 272$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.53 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…7328backed No | 15c | 272$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…d6f1backed No | 40c | 258$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.94 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed Yes | 60c | 251$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…1b7abacked Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…7359backed Yes | 60c | 241$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…afb5backed No | 40c | 238$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…23c3backed Yes | 60c | 233$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…e6aabacked No | 15c | 232$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08c9…bee7backed Yes | 60c | 228$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 6c | 195.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…3b33backed No | 40c | 189$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c65…5ad5backed Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…c345backed Yes | 60c | 148$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50eb…c59fbacked No | 24c | 127$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…08f7backed No | 40c | 112$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…72f1backed Yes | 60c | 107$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…be04backed No | 40c | 105$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ba…e6cebacked No | 40c | 102$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 38cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…2badbacked Yes | 60c | 98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…6447backed No | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…d7b3backed No | 16c | 70.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -54%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…115ebacked Yes | 60c | 66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…75b7backed Yes | 60c | 63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x591c…390dbacked No | 40c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0657backed Yes | 60c | 62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…933ebacked No | 40c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa098…81e4backed No | 40c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…1796backed Yes | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed Yes | 60c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x809d…c03dbacked Yes | 74c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…8b9dbacked Yes | 78c | 19.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?this page
- Will "Audit" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes won
- Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes won
- Will "Davos" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes won
- Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No won
- Will "Disgraziad" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No won
- Will "Greenland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes won
- Will "Independence" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No won
- Will "MAGA" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes won
- Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes won
- Will "Sanders" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No won
- Will "Switzerland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No won
- Will "Too late" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No won
- Will "Zelenskyy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.