Tweets · resolved market
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a5ebac9b1e57c6847153b07d9c9ffb60fd03ca0e0fea043d0c520a652b82205
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f9f…19b7backed Yes | 24c | 6,495$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,919.85 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdae2…0ddebacked Yes | 25c | 5,115$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.09 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 23cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 39c | 3,195$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.82 | 233 | 21%49 W · 184 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…9e6bbacked Yes | 45c | 2,121$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…4c1ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,495$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.49 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed No | 55c | 1,093$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 33c | 757.4$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.04 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…3c25backed Yes | 45c | 746$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 37c | 742.06$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.16 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 42c | 703.95$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.06 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…59d3backed Yes | 41c | 641.45$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11c6…e25ebacked No | 70c | 597$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed No | 75c | 577$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…db77backed Yes | 30c | 541$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 54c | 530.38$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.47 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 65c | 465.92$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.32 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 33c | 392.89$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.41 | 105 | 14.3%15 W · 90 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f3…a7fabacked Yes | 16c | 346$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed Yes | 25c | 309.7$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 63c | 303.14$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.71 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 20c | 295.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.02 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 16c | 292.42$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.49 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…b167backed Yes | 16c | 266$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.83per pick | 18cpaid | +475.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed Yes | 25c | 259$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 76c | 239.98$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…e86dbacked Yes | 45c | 237$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 79c | 203.05$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.4 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 22c | 200$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.85 | 827 | 11%91 W · 736 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 12c | 197.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.43 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…e696backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked Yes | 30c | 165.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes | 45c | 161$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9b…4327backed No | 65c | 147.39$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…abe7backed Yes | 37c | 133.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 20c | 127.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 105 | 10.5%11 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b2…e7ecbacked No | 79c | 126.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Yes | 34c | 125.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…7a52backed No | 56c | 114$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 110.35$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed Yes | 12c | 109.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…50dbbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…24b8backed Yes | 25c | 88.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 37c | 84.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e27…ef09backed Yes | 25c | 81.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 67 | 11.9%8 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ac…d8c5backed Yes | 30c | 56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 30c | 55.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked No | 55c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 74c | 44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…61a7backed No | 54c | 38.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…0661backed Yes | 43c | 37.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c03…d9bcbacked No | 45c | 32.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda62…04c8backed Yes | 48c | 24.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 73c | 20.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…7c61backed No | 76c | 18.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 75c | 18.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 102 | 7.8%8 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 71c | 15.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 77c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?this page
- Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.