Movies · resolved market
Will Little Amélie or the Character of Rain be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x917e461965bce3dd177b1b848ce656e443e51a6146047b46e5db5be1bfca5e4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d2b…fd2cbacked No | 17c | 921$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.57 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…b7d3backed No | 15c | 830$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ed…ec87backed No | 13c | 821$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed No | 14c | 816$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.52 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…fb12backed No | 14c | 773$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…973dbacked No | 13c | 754$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0956…9aa4backed No | 15c | 742$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…cd5abacked No | 12c | 681$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…4a8ebacked No | 14c | 661$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6cd7backed No | 13c | 572$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 77c | 469.07$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.44 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…595cbacked No | 33c | 458$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.98 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…4c53backed No | 15c | 449$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…0005backed No | 15c | 437$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…ac22backed Yes | 79c | 426$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed No | 21c | 426$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…1196backed Yes | 77c | 405$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked No | 35c | 386$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.1 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…857abacked No | 14c | 384$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…5cf9backed No | 18c | 383$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed No | 22c | 374$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…e858backed Yes | 65c | 368$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…f562backed No | 15c | 365$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…d190backed No | 13c | 357$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 16c | 357$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…fbe0backed Yes | 73c | 338$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed No | 27c | 331$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.58 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…e974backed Yes | 74c | 318$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d66…fc54backed Yes | 78c | 309$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…3730backed No | 13c | 301$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4628…ee62backed No | 13c | 281$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…4477backed Yes | 75c | 281$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…6284backed No | 15c | 280$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked No | 12c | 279$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0acbbacked No | 15c | 275$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +123%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…3e62backed No | 23c | 271$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 21c | 264$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…ea1dbacked Yes | 73c | 260$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 20c | 249.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x319c…4a94backed No | 13c | 247$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0d…1359backed No | 31c | 236.49$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes | 78c | 225$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 37c | 224$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…83d7backed No | 13c | 220$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 27c | 209$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed No | 27c | 197$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…5709backed No | 13c | 194$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed No | 23c | 194$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 6c | 192.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0032…4515backed No | 17c | 190$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed No | 32c | 188$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…a54dbacked No | 13c | 188$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed Yes | 67c | 187$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked Yes | 67c | 186$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 72c | 184$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…0c32backed No | 26c | 182$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked Yes | 73c | 180$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 20c | 175$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85cf…a871backed No | 17c | 171$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…6cb4backed No | 26c | 166$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed No | 14c | 165$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked No | 17c | 162$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 78c | 157.71$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed Yes | 63c | 157$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaecb…cd87backed No | 17c | 154$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 77c | 154$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2008…e61fbacked No | 17c | 149$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 28c | 144$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…749abacked No | 17c | 131$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 13c | 129.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 17c | 126$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes | 77c | 125$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed No | 21c | 118$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked No | 17c | 117$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed Yes | 68c | 113$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd911…53d8backed No | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7154backed No | 27c | 102$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…3c25backed No | 17c | 102$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…04c2backed No | 18c | 93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked No | 25c | 92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf049…29fdbacked No | 12c | 92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x667f…8c3ebacked No | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe506…3810backed No | 18c | 88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa999…39c0backed No | 17c | 87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed No | 27c | 86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 15c | 85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 17c | 85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed Yes | 75c | 82.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…fa2abacked Yes | 77c | 82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x150e…fd0dbacked No | 18c | 81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…1c56backed No | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf855…9037backed No | 16c | 79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2f…247abacked No | 21c | 78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f9…9a35backed No | 17c | 78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…ca4cbacked Yes | 77c | 77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…a23bbacked Yes | 73c | 77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 15c | 72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Yes | 77c | 72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…f1f2backed No | 23c | 72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Little Amélie or the Character of Rain be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will In Your Dreams be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will KPop Demon Hunters be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Zootopia 2 be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.