NFL · resolved market
Will the Los Angeles Rams be eliminated in the Divisional Round?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a807b5d0b383714096a9ab749c5261c31a92d375490c24d26176f75e1bb7189
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3506…4815backed Yes | 45c | 801$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…08f5backed Yes | 2c | 800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked Yes | 45c | 784$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…f0abbacked No | 55c | 625$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…09dcbacked No | 55c | 518$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…d166backed Yes | 45c | 518$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed No | 55c | 444$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…4d4cbacked No | 55c | 402$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked No | 55c | 340$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed Yes | 45c | 241$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…26fdbacked No | 55c | 241$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 37cpaid | +268.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 45c | 212$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8da…f944backed Yes | 34c | 117.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…9ef2backed Yes | 45c | 98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed No | 55c | 84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes | 34c | 64.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 32c | 40.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…b20dbacked No | 63c | 28.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 60c | 20.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 169 | 40.8%69 W · 100 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Los Angeles Rams be eliminated in the Divisional Round?this page
- Will the Los Angeles Rams be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?Yes won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams be eliminated in the Super Bowl?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win the Super Bowl?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.