NFL · resolved market
Will the Los Angeles Rams be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc94b4fd0a76ef5368cbb1c8914a367af5baca97b64ffcdfb53509521d466b1ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f10…76b3backed No | 44c | 13,151$5,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,777.29 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 1c | 11,542$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.42 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Yes | 56c | 10,410$5,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,628.67 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,701$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes | 32c | 849$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…6853backed No | 68c | 450$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b63…52cfbacked No | 68c | 399$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8b…c9f8backed Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 44c | 226.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 19c | 134$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 45c | 133.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes | 40c | 110$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 22c | 69.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 22c | 47.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69a1…379abacked Yes | 68c | 38.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed No | 41c | 37.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Yes | 57c | 24.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Yes | 57c | 24.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.7wins | -0.33per pick | 63cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Los Angeles Rams be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?this page
- Will the Los Angeles Rams be eliminated in the Divisional Round?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams be eliminated in the Super Bowl?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win the Super Bowl?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.