Boxing · resolved market
Will there be 2 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x049f9eb30105847c5be699c0b0bb4031cf18e89e4710b7545607071327f42333
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc33b…2372backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0af…7ec6backed Yes | 13c | 1,847$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…49f3backed Yes | 13c | 1,030$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 73c | 1,022$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.71 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1712backed Yes | 13c | 1,008$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…ab94backed Yes | 13c | 993$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…7ddcbacked Yes | 13c | 934$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d2…6698backed Yes | 13c | 926$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…7ff5backed Yes | 13c | 796$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 80c | 619.89$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.55 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed Yes | 13c | 611$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…2d87backed Yes | 13c | 598$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5810…0f18backed Yes | 21c | 556.85$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 20c | 529.48$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.43 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked Yes | 13c | 455$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…2129backed Yes | 33c | 446$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 26c | 420$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.14 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…bdf1backed Yes | 13c | 415$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…a94dbacked Yes | 13c | 401$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…e392backed Yes | 13c | 375$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed Yes | 13c | 370$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…a127backed Yes | 13c | 359$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b07…a304backed Yes | 28c | 350.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6cd7backed Yes | 13c | 345$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f61…67b8backed Yes | 31c | 323.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 5c | 308.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 4cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…467abacked Yes | 34c | 307.82$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.89 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…af45backed Yes | 13c | 298$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 18c | 293.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 22c | 266.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…a48fbacked Yes | 13c | 255$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…138abacked Yes | 25c | 235.59$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 19c | 225.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed Yes | 13c | 205$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9498…d950backed Yes | 13c | 188$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…e169backed Yes | 29c | 173.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e96…c895backed Yes | 13c | 153$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc49…0daabacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 77c | 137.66$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…61debacked Yes | 16c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81b…5afcbacked Yes | 9c | 130$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c0…4bf8backed Yes | 20c | 126.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Yes | 25c | 120.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f29…afd5backed Yes | 28c | 110.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda7a…d321backed Yes | 19c | 106.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ff…9f1cbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f88…d9adbacked Yes | 29c | 102.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 13c | 100.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1d…1e79backed Yes | 25c | 80.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1c…faf3backed Yes | 25c | 76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 19c | 64.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0f…7b84backed Yes | 25c | 56.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +133.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8a…2ad7backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…f533backed No | 69c | 46.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked No | 68c | 40.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…4d38backed Yes | 35c | 28.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be 2 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?this page
- Will Paul vs Joshua not occur by January 31?No won
- Will there be 0 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?No won
- Will there be 1 knockdown during Paul vs Joshua?No won
- Will there be 3 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?No won
- Will there be 4+ knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.