Boxing · resolved market
Will there be 4+ knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d28673dcaff3dc964da05961bffdb33b34b8e088061b5fbfb0dde8aeec518f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5810…0f18backed No | 6c | 3,946$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25c…6430backed Yes | 25c | 1,516$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 75c | 960.1$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.07 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…fcd5backed Yes | 13c | 746.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 3c | 424.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.67 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 5c | 230.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.85 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 6cpaid | +470.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…c103backed Yes | 22c | 222.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 15cpaid | +334.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3902…43f8backed Yes | 6c | 207.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,496%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 59c | 94.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…b252backed Yes | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 14cpaid | +331.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 42c | 77.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be 4+ knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?this page
- Will Paul vs Joshua not occur by January 31?No won
- Will there be 0 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?No won
- Will there be 1 knockdown during Paul vs Joshua?No won
- Will there be 2 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?No won
- Will there be 3 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.