Movies · resolved market
Will Rose Byrne (If I Had Legs I'd Kick You) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22964c2fc31be244318b7c3a9ce612ac2164c4eca809142eb447fecbda629b36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked No | 24c | 932$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed Yes | 76c | 864$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.36 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…2cdbbacked No | 25c | 810$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…d4aabacked No | 27c | 740.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 75c | 695.94$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.92 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 27c | 626.56$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.04 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…f1d9backed No | 26c | 615$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…6533backed No | 31c | 615$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked Yes | 69c | 602$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.62 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…f4d1backed Yes | 74c | 519$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.94 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked No | 25c | 518$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 75c | 516$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 80c | 499.97$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 20c | 471$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 22c | 454.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e55…59d2backed No | 27c | 434$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.18 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 24c | 381$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…b461backed Yes | 75c | 379$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked Yes | 76c | 376$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1584…71b6backed No | 46c | 338.88$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.53 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed Yes | 76c | 308$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…09a9backed Yes | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 25c | 290.22$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…7328backed No | 24c | 267$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…3f46backed Yes | 77c | 250.84$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…0042backed No | 26c | 248$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…09e0backed Yes | 75c | 247$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed Yes | 73c | 238$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed Yes | 76c | 229$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.96 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234a…cbffbacked No | 24c | 229$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed No | 24c | 214$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 73c | 206.43$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.56 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 24c | 199$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 23c | 194.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked Yes | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes | 75c | 184$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f83…7bf4backed Yes | 75c | 171.25$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 78c | 158.85$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 72c | 158$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…66acbacked No | 27c | 151.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 20c | 150.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 76c | 145.47$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…9e42backed No | 24c | 142$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 22c | 141.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1183…25e8backed No | 29c | 139$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x416b…bad6backed Yes | 75c | 138.39$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed Yes | 76c | 130.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe126…b313backed Yes | 78c | 128.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…05b5backed Yes | 78c | 128.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 26c | 126.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…2a7fbacked No | 29c | 119$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ec…8692backed Yes | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…115cbacked Yes | 76c | 105$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…0005backed No | 27c | 104$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…c4edbacked Yes | 73c | 102.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed No | 23c | 101$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…e523backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…1d49backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked No | 24c | 98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x808d…24a7backed Yes | 76c | 92.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2296…513fbacked Yes | 74c | 92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked No | 23c | 91.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…7d60backed Yes | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 28c | 88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 23c | 88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 29c | 84.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…ac3bbacked Yes | 74c | 82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b9…4947backed No | 27c | 77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…9a60backed Yes | 74c | 74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba91…4182backed No | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked No | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf811…69babacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed No | 24c | 62.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…15d0backed Yes | 78c | 61.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 26c | 60.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 29c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…9c20backed No | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Yes | 74c | 50.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x029c…5137backed No | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x323d…d7fbbacked Yes | 71c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc977…96f5backed Yes | 71c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 75c | 45.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…13c4backed Yes | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3041…c717backed No | 28c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d66ebacked Yes | 76c | 41.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1f…82fabacked Yes | 71c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +197.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…7bacbacked Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 26c | 39.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd929…65cbbacked Yes | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x836d…3557backed No | 29c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 73c | 37.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rose Byrne (If I Had Legs I'd Kick You) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?this page
- Will Amanda Seyfried (The Testament of Ann Lee) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Chase Infiniti (One Battle After Another) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Cynthia Erivo (Wicked: For Good) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Emma Stone (Bugonia) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Kate Hudson (Song Sung Blue) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Lindsay Lohan (Freakier Friday) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.