NBA · resolved market
Will the New Orleans Pelicans have the worst record in the NBA?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4175c28519f11206ab6c1b08bce36d7fb448b07128a2240f8cc824db83203dab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 3,721$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 1c | 2,187$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d2…6698backed Yes | 10c | 1,338$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed0…0532backed Yes | 10c | 1,302$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…7b04backed Yes | 10c | 894$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.29 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…38d2backed Yes | 10c | 880$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…2d93backed Yes | 22c | 773$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9d41backed No | 78c | 752$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…6279backed Yes | 10c | 706$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5518…1211backed No | 78c | 672$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.82 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…1435backed Yes | 5c | 649.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b2…0eb2backed Yes | 10c | 582$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 8c | 550.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked No | 78c | 516$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.97 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe62…6d76backed No | 78c | 503$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…ca53backed Yes | 22c | 483$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.81 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked Yes | 10c | 469.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…a5b8backed Yes | 10c | 448$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…69d2backed Yes | 22c | 442$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…74f4backed Yes | 10c | 425$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed Yes | 14c | 417$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…e62fbacked Yes | 10c | 414$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…b167backed Yes | 10c | 406$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981e…d368backed Yes | 10c | 405$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…70a2backed Yes | 10c | 395$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed Yes | 10c | 381$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked Yes | 10c | 380$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…d725backed Yes | 10c | 375$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 313.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…2ad5backed Yes | 10c | 277$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…3e46backed Yes | 10c | 273$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…001dbacked Yes | 10c | 258$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked No | 78c | 251$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed Yes | 22c | 245$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked Yes | 6c | 223$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…0320backed Yes | 33c | 217.39$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 22c | 206$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed Yes | 22c | 199$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…a152backed Yes | 6c | 198$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…e9adbacked Yes | 7c | 191.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…cd5abacked Yes | 10c | 182$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73df…ba67backed Yes | 10c | 182$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 9c | 179.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…9bc5backed Yes | 6c | 168$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc18…cb94backed Yes | 10c | 166$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…f991backed Yes | 17c | 139.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Yes | 20c | 127.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…a94dbacked Yes | 10c | 119$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes | 14c | 116$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…e29abacked Yes | 9c | 111$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…0412backed Yes | 23c | 90.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 22c | 72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…3888backed Yes | 22c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed No | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 54c | 34.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans have the worst record in the NBA?this page
- Will the Brooklyn Nets have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.