Asian League · resolved market
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd548bc5ae8ba68e416f8ee65b837094c6136b0086a80e3910a96a573a4e3942a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,069 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x524c…ab94backed Under | 77c | 1,225$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…8cc1backed Over | 22c | 948$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed Under | 78c | 799$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325a…a634backed Under | 76c | 618$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed Over | 22c | 586$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed Under | 77c | 532$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 77c | 458.54$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.07 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…3037backed Over | 23c | 411$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…bd84backed Over | 23c | 409$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f6…bb1ebacked Over | 23c | 405$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b3…55cfbacked Over | 23c | 397$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2145…1e5dbacked Under | 78c | 388$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2f…a8aabacked Under | 78c | 365$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…ef17backed Under | 78c | 302$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…5f6abacked Under | 78c | 284$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Over | 22c | 269$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +121%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked Over | 22c | 254$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…7fd9backed Under | 78c | 254$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ce…2213backed Over | 22c | 248$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 24cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…7ff5backed Over | 22c | 236$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac7…dc0bbacked Over | 24c | 210$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…91fdbacked Over | 24c | 210$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked Over | 24c | 198$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…0d52backed Under | 78c | 149$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…7b04backed Over | 23c | 135$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under | 78c | 100.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf053…3939backed Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…d49dbacked Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 76c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…51acbacked Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.