Asian League · resolved market
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1174f19724a9b235e181d70df117d48a8394eea11305e5311845972a86319221
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b4f…3b33backed Over | 39c | 1,249$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed Under | 60c | 825$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed Under | 61c | 577$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed Under | 61c | 517$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…cd36backed Under | 60c | 444$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…c03ebacked Under | 58c | 432$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…a3e1backed Over | 42c | 432$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Over | 40c | 425$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…c7afbacked Under | 58c | 402$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…f562backed Over | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efe…d947backed Under | 59c | 302$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…4d9abacked Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed Over | 42c | 266$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 42c | 239.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.08 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8d…6fe9backed Under | 61c | 229.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 70c | 219.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Under | 30c | 219.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 43c | 217$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…bd71backed Under | 59c | 213$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…f0abbacked Over | 41c | 213$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 79c | 191.34$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked Under | 59c | 167$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed Over | 41c | 167$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2a4ebacked Under | 61c | 155$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…d252backed Over | 40c | 144$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…aa07backed Over | 41c | 137$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 41c | 96.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 41c | 87.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed Over | 41c | 84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Under | 63c | 55.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 72c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 38c | 42.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 58c | 41.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…7f64backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 58c | 38.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,143 | 46.5%531 W · 612 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.