Asian League · resolved market
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5f74438cf8af78b9ad066049090f364188a515e925bb3d2744477be4c134bb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,090 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 15c | 573.58$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed Over | 75c | 502$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…55d9backed Under | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…f5ebbacked Under | 20c | 499$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…2238backed Under | 24c | 482$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 20cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…e1babacked Over | 19c | 477$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb214…a6aabacked Over | 80c | 469$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…bcf0backed Over | 80c | 468$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…2550backed Under | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked Over | 80c | 450$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…4d4cbacked Under | 20c | 438$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6177…c22abacked Under | 24c | 418$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Over | 76c | 360$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506a…1b43backed Over | 76c | 352$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…f215backed Over | 76c | 328$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Under | 15c | 316.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…4146backed Over | 76c | 302$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…1616backed Under | 25c | 262$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 16c | 257$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f5…8e1ebacked Under | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 77c | 196.82$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…7585backed Over | 76c | 127$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80d…b42bbacked Over | 75c | 77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…3ceabacked Under | 24c | 66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed Under | 24c | 61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c07…956bbacked Over | 76c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.