Other European Leagues · resolved market
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73f0e067a6aebe7ed19861f71730795cae93442675dbf793cb95c2f8982a3bf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,688 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b69…6622backed Over | 32c | 1,029$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…297bbacked Under | 60c | 882$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…ccecbacked Under | 49c | 840$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…cd52backed Over | 31c | 833$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…debabacked Under | 69c | 796$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked Under | 68c | 687$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed Over | 31c | 657$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…e642backed Under | 69c | 640$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed Over | 31c | 619$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…bd71backed Under | 68c | 592$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed Under | 68c | 585$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…dbd4backed Over | 31c | 474$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…91a9backed Under | 69c | 452$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2d…caf4backed Over | 51c | 451$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…1b67backed Over | 40c | 447$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b3…55cfbacked Over | 40c | 435$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…9ca7backed Under | 49c | 425$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96e…1ea6backed Over | 32c | 417$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Over | 51c | 415$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed Over | 51c | 399$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…8919backed Over | 32c | 382$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +129.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…68cabacked Over | 32c | 378$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…3421backed Under | 68c | 359$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked Under | 69c | 357$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked Over | 32c | 354$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Under | 68c | 352$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…b418backed Over | 32c | 346$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…44d8backed Under | 68c | 339$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked Under | 68c | 324$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aec…fdafbacked Over | 32c | 315$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…d190backed Under | 69c | 262$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +202.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked Under | 69c | 245$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked Over | 31c | 186$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 25c | 138$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4901…8832backed Under | 28c | 70.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 26c | 69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 26c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Over | 74c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Over | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 72c | 31.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Over | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Over | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.