Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2c178a3c7c4b2dd170fcfc14289ef59b421c62a117161df537eb208b9531d75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9460…7b3cbacked Yes | 11c | 9,121$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.67 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 5c | 3,119$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.98 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 6c | 2,164$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.23 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 1,753$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 7c | 1,749$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.83 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 7c | 1,666$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 4c | 1,402$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +19.6wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,131$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5b…dca3backed Yes | 3c | 1,046$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c5…8732backed Yes | 11c | 892.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 8c | 864.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6a…521cbacked Yes | 12c | 842.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc89…0970backed Yes | 10c | 804.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…ab06backed Yes | 10c | 783.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 3c | 750$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…74e6backed Yes | 9c | 740.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 15c | 733.33$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.82 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 5c | 725.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…68aebacked Yes | 14c | 707.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 9c | 700$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…5638backed Yes | 15c | 682.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 678.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3a…e29abacked Yes | 4c | 651.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d91…7a49backed Yes | 5c | 635.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5efd…e08ebacked Yes | 8c | 609.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8638…c8e9backed Yes | 13c | 591.54$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 3c | 579.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 171 | 29.2%50 W · 121 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 7c | 550.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +20.0wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…f1f2backed Yes | 10c | 522$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 501.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed Yes | 9c | 474$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Yes | 9c | 462$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed Yes | 16c | 455.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4004…c5debacked Yes | 5c | 438.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +353%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…4e02backed Yes | 5c | 426.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 9c | 412.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 408.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…0f4dbacked Yes | 6c | 400.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37b…9b85backed Yes | 11c | 400$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed Yes | 9c | 392$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 12c | 390.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…0b4fbacked Yes | 4c | 356.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 7c | 346.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed Yes | 10c | 342$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 5c | 339.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 197 | 6.6%13 W · 184 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Yes | 9c | 331$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 7c | 330$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 147 | 7.5%11 W · 136 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 321.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4329…3a79backed Yes | 3c | 317.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb57…0a7bbacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…4eb7backed Yes | 5c | 297.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 8c | 295.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 83 | 6%5 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…1dcfbacked Yes | 9c | 285$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2a4ebacked Yes | 9c | 278$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…2393backed Yes | 20c | 263.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…64eabacked Yes | 7c | 253.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 5c | 249.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…9840backed Yes | 7c | 247.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 8c | 240.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…c8a9backed Yes | 9c | 238$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34e…6ec7backed Yes | 9c | 233.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b3…55cfbacked Yes | 10c | 230$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…595cbacked Yes | 9c | 223$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 6c | 219.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 8c | 215$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed Yes | 8c | 213$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd640…480cbacked Yes | 8c | 204.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed Yes | 17c | 201$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed Yes | 9c | 191$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…53e0backed Yes | 9c | 187$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Yes | 9c | 184$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa25…54b2backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed Yes | 10c | 174$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…ded2backed Yes | 9c | 174$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…7d8abacked Yes | 9c | 173$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 12c | 168.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d6…58f0backed Yes | 6c | 164.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b2…567cbacked Yes | 10c | 158$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.44per pick | 37cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 156.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…8cf7backed Yes | 9c | 156$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…384fbacked Yes | 9c | 154$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3487…b57bbacked Yes | 7c | 148.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…735abacked Yes | 8c | 148.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…b842backed Yes | 10c | 148$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7154backed Yes | 9c | 147$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes | 9c | 143$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked Yes | 8c | 141$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 8c | 140$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Yes | 9c | 134$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes | 9c | 127$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…8779backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.