MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbede2e0b0fd797304fe8f79fa12c0c2b4e19a2d440af0103c45224fdf4570845
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $375,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $401,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 37,164$10,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,205.51 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 33,454$18,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,916.66 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 26,991$12,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,845.07 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 23,392$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec9f…21bdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 0c | 12,640$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…26e8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 8,400$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,620 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 8,145$6,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.26 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 0c | 7,020$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 5,899$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280.5 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 5,056$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,856.66 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 4,987$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.51 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 4,930$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.63 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 4,781$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,677.63 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 3,922$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.92 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 3,912$3,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,058.65 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 3,763$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.7 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 3,632$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.98 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 3,000$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.2 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 2,996$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.55 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 2,897$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.5 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 2,607$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.96 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d97…f263backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 2,458$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 2,415$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.62 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 1c | 2,367$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a90…1dddbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 2,237$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.75 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 2,198$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.62 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 1,863$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.37 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 1,784$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.61 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,775$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.25 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 1,773$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.82 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Philadelphia Phillies | 8c | 1,719$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.57 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,588$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.62 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,466$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.37 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebfb…186fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,391$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 1,345$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.49 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 11c | 1,333$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.76 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 1,325$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.75 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b8…f0cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 79c | 1,272$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 1,225$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.49 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672e…d91bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 1,200$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ff…2d94backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,199$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d64…ada1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 1,152$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 10c | 1,151$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.56 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 9c | 1,150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,150$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 10c | 1,100$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.5 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 7c | 1,071$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.43 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 1,053$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.93 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 1,046$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.62 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 1,025$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.91 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,020$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.17 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…9b51backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 903.52$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.97 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…6cb6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 879.99$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.19 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 800.01$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.34 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 754.7$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 743.44$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.25 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…8fd0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 738.61$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.57 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 738.03$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.3 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 735$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.97 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 700$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.24 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 602.07$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.06 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 586.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.6 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 575.5$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.97 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 23c | 572.92$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.57 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 569.9$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.75 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…2677backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 529.04$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 528.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.8 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…37acbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0817…b071backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 4c | 496.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 459.16$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.82 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 444.64$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.39 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Philadelphia Phillies | 25c | 426.44$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.41 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 420.01$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.59 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 418.26$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.23 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 409.04$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 401.98$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.11 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 400.94$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.53 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 392.05$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.51 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 21c | 389.25$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…3af0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 378$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 371.21$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.88 | 251 | 55.4%139 W · 112 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 364.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…add4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 13c | 356$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +11.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…3435backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 355.56$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 351.93$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.08 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…e6d4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 351.44$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 344$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.64 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe25…ce67backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 3c | 334.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 324.13$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.91 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 316.87$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.02 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.