TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6d64…ada1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Asian League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$953Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$952.53
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$221.7
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$72.14
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group Cbacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$305
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group Bbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.46
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stagebacked Vasco Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.91
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$120.18
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$164.79
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,657Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$434.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$189.53
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick70cpaid-38.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.05
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.12
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$691Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$691.3
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$48.63
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$12.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$43.45
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$52.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$512.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Burgos vs. Unicajabacked Burgos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$550.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$215.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.