CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x053e06d4a086922f6f1d0b3b8cbca719d2dc0abd7f6a5d7589437f7204b05282
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Aresof G2 Ares, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked G2 Ares | 44c | 4,446$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.4 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked MASONIC | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.99 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…a2c9backed MASONIC | 57c | 2,864$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.65 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed MASONIC | 55c | 1,835$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.15 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked G2 Ares | 45c | 1,653$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.7 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Ares | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d64…ada1backed MASONIC | 65c | 770.2$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 Ares | 26c | 707.62$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.95 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed MASONIC | 55c | 516.77$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.22 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked G2 Ares | 45c | 497.94$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.72 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked G2 Ares | 45c | 472.36$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.8 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed G2 Ares | 50c | 412$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed G2 Ares | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MASONIC | 75c | 375.29$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.64 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04c…55d3backed G2 Ares | 45c | 302.91$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.88 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked G2 Ares | 17c | 300$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed MASONIC | 56c | 299.38$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.18 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed G2 Ares | 36c | 277.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.77 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed MASONIC | 55c | 245$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked G2 Ares | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…7091backed G2 Ares | 40c | 219.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.47 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed G2 Ares | 33c | 219.97$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.38 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed G2 Ares | 43c | 212.04$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.62 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed MASONIC | 56c | 207$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked MASONIC | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked G2 Ares | 29c | 156.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.27 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed MASONIC | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed MASONIC | 63c | 154$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed G2 Ares | 34c | 150.05$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…1f2ebacked MASONIC | 66c | 145$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MASONIC | 64c | 141.61$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MASONIC | 72c | 117.66$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.81 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…6194backed G2 Ares | 44c | 110.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Ares | 36c | 102.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked G2 Ares | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed G2 Ares | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed G2 Ares | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed G2 Ares | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked MASONIC | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…531fbacked MASONIC | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed G2 Ares | 39c | 88.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked G2 Ares | 37c | 85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed MASONIC | 67c | 82.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked MASONIC | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed MASONIC | 67c | 74.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7173…7a4cbacked MASONIC | 69c | 70.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked MASONIC | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed G2 Ares | 36c | 60.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed G2 Ares | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed MASONIC | 55c | 55.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MASONIC | 63c | 52.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked MASONIC | 58c | 49.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed MASONIC | 79c | 44.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed MASONIC | 56c | 38.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed MASONIC | 56c | 38.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked MASONIC | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed MASONIC | 56c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed G2 Ares | 31c | 35.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…736bbacked MASONIC | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 66.1%78 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed G2 Ares | 43c | 28.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…32e2backed MASONIC | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked MASONIC | 63c | 17.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs MASONIC - Map 2 WinnerMASONIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.